Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 27

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Fermana		SPAL

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.9	3	1.88
	4	3.2	1.95	Watch
	3.75	2.95	1.99
	4.35	3.18	1.95
	3.9	3.1	1.91
	4.18	3.08	1.88
	4.1	3.05	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (2.78)	3.08 ↑ (2.88)	1.92 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fermana
22.7%

Draw
29.7%

SPAL
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

31.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

30.4%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fermana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fermana's form might have worsened.

SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SPAL's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fermana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SPAL, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Fermana - SPAL Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. SPAL will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Furlanetto A. (G) 2. Eleuteri A. 6. Fort F. 15. Santi P. 36. Carosso A. 14. Heinz J. 8. Scorza C. 26. Misuraca G. (C) 30. Petrungaro L. 9. Sorrentino L. 10. Giovinco G.	12. Galeotti C. (G) 24. Ghiringhelli L. 27. Peda P. 4. Valentini N. 3. Bruscagin M. 19. Dalmonte N. 25. Carraro M. 77. Buchel M. 37. Maistro F. 7. Antenucci M. (C) 21. Zilli M.
Substitutes
13. Bonfigli L. 1. Borghetto N. (G) 17. Condello S. 24. Gianelli J. 34. Locanto G. 12. Mancini A. (G) 19. Marcandella D. 28. Niang O. 90. Petrelli E. 3. Pistolesi F.	1. Alfonso E. (G) 34. Breit P. 5. Contiliano N. 28. Del Favero M. (G) 71. Edera S. 2. Fiordaliso A. 17. Iglio G. 29. Nador S. 9. Orfei A. 10. Petrovic T. 11. Rabbi S. 75. Rao E. 16. Saiani F. 33. Tripaldelli A.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Fermana is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches SPAL is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

SPAL could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match SPAL is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fermana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
14.02.24	Perugia - Fermana	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Fermana - Vis Pesaro	0:2 ✺
03.02.24	Cesena - Fermana	1:0 ✺
26.01.24	Recanatese - Fermana	1:3 ✺
21.01.24	Fermana - Gubbio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLLWL
- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie C Group B
13.02.24	Pescara - SPAL	1:2 ✺
09.02.24	SPAL - Recanatese	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Lucchese - SPAL	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	SPAL - Juventus U23	1:3 ✺
21.01.24	Perugia - SPAL	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
15.10.23	SPAL - Fermana	0:0

Fermana - SPAL: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide