Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 27

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Pineto		Olbia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.2	4.75
	1.72	3.4	5	Watch
	1.72	3.25	4.63
	1.74	3.42	5.28
	1.67	3.3	4.8
	1.65	3.31	4.93
	1.7	3.3	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.61)	3.31 ↓ (3.45)	4.9 ↓ (5.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pineto
53.8%

Draw
27.6%

Olbia
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

26.5%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

19.1%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Olbia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pineto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olbia than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Pineto - Olbia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tonti A. (G) 19. Borsoi M. 30. Villa L. 23. De Santis S. 27. Baggi F. 10. Sannipoli D. 21. Lombardi L. 17. Manu D. 9. Gambale D. 7. Volpicelli E. 11. Njambe M.	1. Rinaldi F. (G) 23. Arboleda C. 5. Bellodi G. 39. Motolese M. 7. Mordini D. 4. Dessena D. 26. Mameli A. 8. Schiavone A. 20. Cavuoti N. 10. Ragatzu D. 99. Bianchimano A.
Substitutes
29. Chakir A. 20. Della Quercia R. 77. Foglia M. 8. Germinario G. 36. Grilli M. (G) 82. Iaccarino P. 32. Macario G. 1. Mercorelli S. (G) 99. Pellegrino A. 70. Teraschi M.	90. Catania L. 33. Guidotti S. 6. Incerti D. F. 3. La Rosa L. 43. Montebugnoli M. 18. Nanni N. 17. Palomba L. 67. Scapin T. 19. Scaringi M. 22. van der Want M. (G) 2. Zallu F.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Recent matches Pineto is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Olbia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Olbia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pineto is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pineto won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
13.02.24	Pontedera - Pineto	2:3 ✺
10.02.24	Pineto - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Pescara - Pineto	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	Rimini - Pineto	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Pineto - Ancona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTLTL
- US Olbia 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
14.02.24	Olbia - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Ancona - Olbia	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Carrarese - Olbia	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Olbia - Arezzo	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Sassari Torres - Olbia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
02.11.23	Olbia - Pineto	1:0

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