The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fernando de la Mora 51.9%
Draw 25.5%
3 de Febrero 22.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39%
29.5%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.1%
29%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fernando de la Mora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fernando de la Mora's performance.
3 de Febrero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and 3 de Febrero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fernando de la Mora than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fernando de la Mora that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for 3 de Febrero than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that 3 de Febrero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.7%
9.1%
18.2%
Fernando de la Mora - 3 de Febrero Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Fernando de la Mora will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). 3 de Febrero will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fernando de la Mora: 46.4% โ 99%.
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Preview
Fernando de la Mora is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches 3 de Febrero is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Fernando de la Mora could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Fernando de la Mora will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Fernando de la Mora won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Fernando de la Mora won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-0.
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