Match Info

PARAGUAY: Division Intermedia - Round 29

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports


	3 de Febrero		Sportivo San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.95	2.3
	2.92	3.1	2.27
	2.94	3.16	2.32	Watch
	2.86	3.27	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.1)	3.12 ↓ (3.3)	2.31 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

3 de Febrero
31.5%

Draw
29.2%

Sportivo San Lorenzo
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

27.9%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

27.8%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

3 de Febrero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that 3 de Febrero's form might have worsened.

Sportivo San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sportivo San Lorenzo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 3 de Febrero than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for 3 de Febrero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportivo San Lorenzo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

3 de Febrero - Sportivo San Lorenzo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
59', 2 - 1, ⚽,
62', 2 - 2, ⚽,
71', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlético 3 de Febrero
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
28.09.24	Independiente Asuncion - 3 de Febrero	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	3 de Febrero - Resistencia	0:0 ✺
18.09.24	3 de Febrero - Deportivo Santaní	0:3 ✺
13.09.24	Rubio Ñu - 3 de Febrero	0:0 ✺
02.09.24	Sportivo Carapeguá - 3 de Febrero	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LTLTW
- Sportivo San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
30.09.24	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Colegiales	3:0 ✺
20.09.24	Fernando de la Mora - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Independiente Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
09.09.24	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Resistencia	1:1 ✺
02.09.24	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
30.06.24	Sportivo San Lorenzo - 3 de Febrero	1:0
23.08.23	3 de Febrero - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:2
18.05.23	Sportivo San Lorenzo - 3 de Febrero	1:0
19.08.22	3 de Febrero - Sportivo San Lorenzo	2:1
16.05.22	Sportivo San Lorenzo - 3 de Febrero	3:0

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