Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 23

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday


	Fernando de la Mora		Deportivo Capiatá

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.20	3.30
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.17	3.25	3
	2.34	3.32	2.93	Watch
	2.02	3.2	3.1
	2.09	3.39	3.39
	2.09	3.15	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.22)	3.23 ↑ (3)	3.13 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fernando de la Mora
43%

Draw
28.1%

Deportivo Capiatá
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

30.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

28.8%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fernando de la Mora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Deportivo Capiatá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fernando de la Mora than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Capiatá than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Fernando de la Mora - Deportivo Capiatá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Galeano L. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Fernando de la Mora has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Deportivo Capiatá has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fernando de la Mora could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fernando de la Mora won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Fernando de la Mora won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Dep. Capiata	27	6	11	10	31:37	-6	29

Last Results with these Odds

Fernando de la Mora - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 40.98%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Fernando de la Mora
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
04.09.26	Independiente Asuncion - Fernando de la Mora	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Fernando de la Mora - Tacuary	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Atlético Tembetary - Fernando de la Mora	2:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
19.08.26	Obrero - Fernando de la Mora	0:3 ✺
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
14.08.26	Fernando de la Mora - Benjamín Aceval	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTLWW
- Deportivo Capiatá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
03.09.26	Deportivo Capiatá - 3 de Noviembre	4:3 ✺
28.08.26	General Caballero JLM - Deportivo Capiatá	2:1 ✺
21.08.26	Deportivo Capiatá - Guaireña	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Resistencia - Deportivo Capiatá	1:0 ✺
03.08.26	Paraguarí - Deportivo Capiatá	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
19.05.26	Deportivo Capiatá - Fernando de la Mora	2:1
14.09.25	Deportivo Capiatá - Fernando de la Mora	2:1
09.06.25	Fernando de la Mora - Deportivo Capiatá	0:0
02.10.21	Deportivo Capiatá - Fernando de la Mora	1:0

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