Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 28

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Paraguay	10:00	Tigo Sports+


	3 de Noviembre		Fernando de la Mora

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.25	2.50
	2.40	3.25	2.52
	2.40	3.35	2.52
	2.5	3.5	2.6	Watch
	2.35	3.30	2.45
	2.54	3.43	2.60
	2.40	3.30	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.52)	3.34 ↓ (3.41)	2.53 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

3 de Noviembre
37.2%

Draw
27%

Fernando de la Mora
35.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.8%

27.2%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

26.9%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

3 de Noviembre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Fernando de la Mora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 3 de Noviembre than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fernando de la Mora than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

3 de Noviembre - Fernando de la Mora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, Galeano L. ⚽,
54', 0 - 2, Benitez Samaniego D. D. ⚽,
69', 1 - 2, Maciel Bogado I. F. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, Maciel Bogado I. F. ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

3 de Noviembre has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Fernando de la Mora have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

3 de Noviembre could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, 3 de Noviembre has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	3 de Noviembre	30	7	9	14	38:46	-8	30

Last Results with these Odds

Fernando de la Mora - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.97%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club 3 de Noviembre
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
03.10.26	Paraguarí - 3 de Noviembre	1:0 ✺
25.09.26	General Caballero JLM - 3 de Noviembre	1:3 ✺
18.09.26	3 de Noviembre - Guaireña	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Resistencia - 3 de Noviembre	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	3 de Noviembre - Sol de América	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 LWTWW
- Club Fernando de la Mora
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
05.10.26	Fernando de la Mora - General Caballero JLM	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Guaireña - Fernando de la Mora	0:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
23.09.26	Fernando de la Mora - Libertad Asuncion	1:2 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
19.09.26	Fernando de la Mora - Resistencia	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Sol de América - Fernando de la Mora	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
03.07.26	Fernando de la Mora - 3 de Noviembre	2:2

3 de Noviembre - Fernando de la Mora