Match Info

PARAGUAY: Division Intermedia - Round 15

Date: 7 July 2024, Sunday


	Fernando de la Mora		Deportivo Recoleta

	1	X	2
	8.75	4.5	1.3
	10.84	6.05	1.14
	10.98	4.39	1.3	Watch
	9	4.6	1.29
	9.55	4.75	1.28
	8.6	4.6	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.62 ↑ (3.75)	4.82 ↑ (3.47)	1.27 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fernando de la Mora
9.5%

Draw
18.9%

Deportivo Recoleta
71.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

26.2%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

25.7%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fernando de la Mora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fernando de la Mora's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Recoleta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fernando de la Mora than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fernando de la Mora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-20.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Recoleta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Fernando de la Mora - Deportivo Recoleta Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Recoleta will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Gonzalez L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, Acosta D. ⚽,
89', 2 - 1, Galeano L. ⚽,

Preview

Recoleta is Qualified for Primera Division (Apertura )

Fernando de la Mora is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Recoleta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fernando de la Mora could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Fernando de la Mora have a series of guest games.

Recoleta will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fernando de la Mora won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Fernando de la Mora won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Fernando de la Mora
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
01.07.24	Colegiales - Fernando de la Mora	1:1 ✺
25.06.24	Fernando de la Mora - Atlético Tembetary	1:1 ✺
16.06.24	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Fernando de la Mora	2:2 ✺
31.05.24	Independiente Asuncion - Fernando de la Mora	2:0 ✺
24.05.24	Resistencia - Fernando de la Mora	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTTLL
- Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
29.06.24	Deportivo Recoleta - Atlético Tembetary	1:1 ✺
22.06.24	12 de Junio - Deportivo Recoleta	2:1 ✺
10.06.24	Guaireña - Deportivo Recoleta	2:1 ✺
02.06.24	Deportivo Recoleta - Martín Ledesma	4:0 ✺
21.05.24	Deportivo Recoleta - 3 de Febrero	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
04.06.23	Fernando de la Mora - Deportivo Recoleta	1:0

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