Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 15

Date: 29 June 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports


	Sportivo San Lorenzo		Fernando de la Mora

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2.02	3.1	3.53
				Watch
	2.1	3	3.3
	1.99	3.18	3.55
	1.98	3.14	3.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.05)	3.1 ↓ (3.3)	3.33 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo San Lorenzo
44.2%

Draw
28.9%

Fernando de la Mora
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

27.5%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

27.1%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Sportivo San Lorenzo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Fernando de la Mora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fernando de la Mora than the current prediction. (+1%)

Sportivo San Lorenzo - Fernando de la Mora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Acosta D. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 1 - 0, Barrios M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 0.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Sportivo San Lorenzo could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
21.06.25	Deportivo Santaní - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
14.06.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Encarnación	1:2 ✺
07.06.25	Tacuary - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
30.05.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - 12 de Junio	1:2 ✺
24.05.25	Resistencia - Sportivo San Lorenzo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLTLL
- Club Fernando de la Mora
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
21.06.25	Fernando de la Mora - Encarnación	1:1 ✺
13.06.25	12 de Junio - Fernando de la Mora	2:1 ✺
09.06.25	Fernando de la Mora - Deportivo Capiatá	0:0 ✺
30.05.25	Guarani de Fram - Fernando de la Mora	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Fernando de la Mora - River Plate Asunción	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
20.09.24	Fernando de la Mora - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:0
16.06.24	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Fernando de la Mora	2:2
13.08.23	Fernando de la Mora - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:0
07.05.23	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Fernando de la Mora	1:2
25.08.22	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Fernando de la Mora	1:3
20.05.22	Fernando de la Mora - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:2

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