Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 15

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry (Buenos Aires)


	Ferro Carril Oeste		Central Norte

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.4	7.5	Watch
	1.57	3.4	6.25
	1.55	3.35	6.7	Watch
	1.53	3.59	7.67
	1.59	3.26	7.52	Watch
	1.57	3.4	6.5
	1.54	3.38	6.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.54)	3.4 ↓ (3.53)	6.95 ↓ (7.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferro Carril Oeste
59.5%

Draw
27.2%

Central Norte
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

26.4%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

25.4%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Central Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Ferro Carril Oeste - Central Norte Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ferro Carril will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Central Norte will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferro Carril: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Norte (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monetti F. (G) 4. Nazareno K. 2. Tevez F. 6. Canto G. 3. Ozuna E. 7. Gonzalez A. 5. Obradovich F. 8. Kabalin M. 10. Hoyos E. 9. Parisi L. 11. Dening E.	1. Vazquez E. (G) 3. Felissia L. 6. Pucheta A. 2. Calderon E. 4. Lamosa A. 11. Sanz P. 8. Mancuso G. 5. Villarreal M. 7. Moravec M. 9. Borda F. 10. Mateo J.
Substitutes
16. Castellani G. 14. Corda S. 17. Garcia F. 20. Marra L. 19. Menendez J. 15. Olguin G. 12. Ruiz L. (G) 13. Taron M. 18. Torrent F.	18. Alvez G. 16. Bustinduy A. 13. Enriquez R. 17. Fernandez K. 12. Hass F. (G) 20. Lopez J. 15. Rosales M. 14. Vaquero J. 19. Vedoya F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Villarreal M. 🟨,
25', Vazquez E. 🟨,
27', Mancuso G. 🟨,
39', Pucheta A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
56', Ozuna E. 🟨,
59', Moravec M. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
59', Mateo J. ↓, Alvez G. ↑,
66', Pucheta A. ↓, Rosales M. ↑,
75', Mancuso G. ↓, Vedoya F. ↑,
77', Hoyos E. ↓, Olguin G. ↑,
77', Kabalin M. ↓, Castellani G. ↑,
84', Dening E. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
84', Parisi L. ↓, Menendez J. ↑,
89', Gonzalez A. ↓, Marra L. ↑,
90+3', Monetti F. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16).

Ferro Carril is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Central Norte is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ferro Carril may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ferro Carril is the clear favorite.

We predict that Ferro Carril will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.05.26	Deportivo Madryn - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:1 ✺
11.05.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Defensores de Belgrano	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:4 ✺
28.04.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Mitre - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWWLW
- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.05.26	Racing de Córdoba - Central Norte	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Central Norte - Deportivo Madryn	2:3 ✺
02.05.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Central Norte	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Central Norte - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Almirante Brown - Central Norte	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLTLL

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