Match Info

Date: 26 September 2022, Monday

Location: Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)


	Ferro Carril Oeste		Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	3.5	Watch
	2.25	2.7	3.5
	2.28	2.5	3.9
	2.21	2.75	3.55
	2.38	2.65	4.03
	2.25	2.6	3.7
	2.26	2.6	3.75
	2.23	2.75	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.64)	2.68 ↓ (2.83)	3.69 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferro Carril Oeste
40.6%

Draw
34.4%

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

31.8%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

33.6%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferro Carril Oeste's performance.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estudiantes de Río Cuarto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estudiantes de Río Cuarto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.6%	64.7%	13.7%

Ferro Carril Oeste - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Ferro Carril will win (votes: 11 - 21.6%). E Río Cuarto will win (votes: 7 - 13.7%). It will Tie (votes: 33 - 64.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 51.6% – 77.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 20 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Ferro Carril is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Estudiantes de Río Cuarto is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferro Carril will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ferro Carril won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferro Carril won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.09.22	Deportivo Madryn - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:3 ✺
12.09.22	Ferro Carril Oeste - Deportivo Morón	1:2 ✺
05.09.22	Temperley - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0 ✺
31.08.22	Deportivo Riestra - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Ferro Carril Oeste - Deportivo Flandria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLLL
- Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.09.22	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Independiente Rivadavia	4:1 ✺
12.09.22	Quilmes - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:1 ✺
04.09.22	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Deportivo Maipú	0:1 ✺
29.08.22	Nueva Chicago - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:0 ✺
21.08.22	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.12.20	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:1
09.03.20	Ferro Carril Oeste - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:1
13.09.19	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:1

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