Match Info

Date: 5 September 2022, Monday

Location: Estadio Alfredo Beranger (Turdera)

Referee: Monson Brizuela G. (Arg)


	Temperley		Ferro Carril Oeste

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.8	2.75
	2.8	2.75	2.7
	2.75	2.63	2.8
	2.8	2.75	2.65
	3	2.69	2.95
	2.75	2.7	2.7
	2.74	2.88	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.47)	2.74 ↓ (2.8)	2.74 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Temperley
32.7%

Draw
33.6%

Ferro Carril Oeste
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

33%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

35.1%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Temperley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Temperley than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Temperley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferro Carril Oeste, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.7%	62.1%	17.2%

Temperley - Ferro Carril Oeste Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Temperley will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). Ferro Carril will win (votes: 5 - 17.2%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 62.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.4% – 79.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 31 and 23).

Temperley is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ferro Carril is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferro Carril could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Temperley won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Temperley won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Temperley
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.08.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Temperley	1:1 ✺
20.08.22	Temperley - Quilmes	2:3 ✺
13.08.22	Deportivo Maipú - Temperley	2:1 ✺
06.08.22	Temperley - Nueva Chicago	2:2 ✺
01.08.22	Club Almagro - Temperley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLLTT
- Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.08.22	Deportivo Riestra - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Ferro Carril Oeste - Deportivo Flandria	1:2 ✺
21.08.22	Gimnasia Jujuy - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:1 ✺
15.08.22	Ferro Carril Oeste - Almirante Brown	1:0 ✺
06.08.22	Villa Dálmine - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.11.20	Temperley - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0
03.12.19	Temperley - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:1
25.02.19	Temperley - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:2

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