Match Info

Date: 8 July 2022, Friday

Location: Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Lobo Medina L. (Arg)


	Ferro Carril Oeste		Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.75	3.1
	2.5	2.7	3.1
	2.45	2.65	3.2
	2.6	2.7	2.95
	2.69	2.73	3.28
	2.7	2.55	3
	2.55	2.73	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.42)	2.69 ↓ (2.88)	3.1 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferro Carril Oeste
35.7%

Draw
34.5%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

33.2%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

36.6%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferro Carril Oeste, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.1%	67.7%	16.1%

Ferro Carril Oeste - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Ferro Carril will win (votes: 5 - 16.1%). Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 5 - 16.1%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 67.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 51.2% – 84.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 22 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Ferro Carril is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gimnasia Mendoza is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferro Carril will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ferro Carril won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferro Carril won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.07.22	San Telmo - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:0 ✺
27.06.22	Ferro Carril Oeste - Chaco For Ever	0:0 ✺
19.06.22	San Martín de San Juan - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0 ✺
14.06.22	Ferro Carril Oeste - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
08.06.22	Ferro Carril Oeste - Boca Juniors	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLWL
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.07.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Independiente Rivadavia	2:0 ✺
24.06.22	Quilmes - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
18.06.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Deportivo Maipú	1:1 ✺
10.06.22	Nueva Chicago - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
05.06.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.01.21	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:4
04.11.18	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Ferro Carril Oeste	3:1
08.11.15	Ferro Carril Oeste - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0
19.06.15	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:1

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