Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - PROMOTION - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Quilmes		Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.75	Watch
	2.1	3	3.4
	2.1	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.19	3.15	3.7
	2.19	3.1	3.76
	2.05	3.2	3.5
	2.13	3.2	3.58	Watch
	2.15	3	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.11)	3.09 ↑ (3.03)	3.59 ↑ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quilmes
43.7%

Draw
30.2%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

30.5%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

30.7%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Quilmes have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Quilmes - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez M. (G) 4. Tevez F. 2. Diaz G. 6. Giampaoli R. 3. Erquiaga I. 8. Ramirez I. 5. Rio M. 7. Sanabria M. 10. Colman I. 11. Batista A. 9. Anselmo F. (C)	1. Olivera B. (G) 4. Nadalin F. 2. Gutierrez A. 6. Olivarez S. 3. Padilla M. 8. Rodriguez J. 5. Villarruel L. 10. Castro R. 7. Nouet M. 11. Romano N. 9. Herrera W. A.
Substitutes
14. Bindella A. 15. Calello A. 19. Capano J. 12. Glellel E. (G) 18. Lattanzio C. 13. Lopez M. 16. Postigo J. 20. Sandoval T. 17. Torres L.	15. Antonio I. 16. Barboza O. 18. Herrera H. 12. Humeler K. (G) 20. Juncos J. 17. Lopez S. 19. Marchiori T. 13. Palmieri M. 14. Recalde M.
Coaches
Fuscaldo A.	Sastre J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Quilmes won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Quilmes will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Quilmes won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Quilmes won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.10.23	Quilmes - Racing de Córdoba	1:2 ✺
07.10.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Quilmes	0:1 ✺
29.09.23	Quilmes - Tristán Suárez	5:1 ✺
23.09.23	Chacarita Juniors - Quilmes	2:2 ✺
17.09.23	Quilmes - Mitre	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWTL
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.10.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Guillermo Brown	5:0 ✺
07.10.23	Agropecuario Argentino - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
01.10.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Club Almagro	4:3 ✺
23.09.23	San Telmo - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	3:2 ✺
16.09.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Temperley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.06.22	Quilmes - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:0
01.08.21	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Quilmes	0:3
21.03.21	Quilmes - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:1
23.02.20	Quilmes - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	2:2
02.09.19	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Quilmes	0:0
06.10.18	Quilmes - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1
Copa Argentina
10.05.17	Quilmes - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:1 penalties

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