Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 23

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ferro Carril Oeste		Godoy Cruz

	1	X	2
	1.96	2.85	4.50
	1.95	2.90	4.10
	1.95	3.10	4.25	Watch
	2.00	3.03	4.94
	2.02	2.94	4.38	Watch
	1.91	3.00	4.80
	2.00	2.90	4.49
	1.95	2.85	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (1.99)	2.95 ↑ (2.92)	4.46 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferro Carril Oeste
47.4%

Draw
31.7%

Godoy Cruz
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

32%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

30.6%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Godoy Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Godoy Cruz than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Ferro Carril Oeste - Godoy Cruz Predictions

Users Predictions: Ferro Carril Oeste will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ruiz L. (G) 2. Pena Biafore L. 4. Nazareno K. 6. Taron M. 7. Gonzalez A. 5. Obradovich F. 3. Ozuna E. 8. Kabalin M. 10. Hoyos E. 11. Benegas M. 9. Parisi L.	1. Strumia J. (G) 2. Brunet N. 3. Viera D. 4. Gerometta F. 6. Rossi T. 5. Gil Romero G. 8. Schamine B. 10. Poggi V. 7. Rodriguez A. 9. Pino M. 11. Guerrero A.
Substitutes
12. Alvarez A. (G) 14. Corda S. 19. Dening E. 17. Gomez N. 20. Marra L. 18. Menendez J. 15. Olguin G. 13. Tevez F. 16. Uriel P.	15. Andrada J. 18. Arce L. 13. Burgos E. 16. Cairus F. 19. Fernandez R. 14. Milo F. 17. Orosco B. 12. Ramirez R. (G) 20. Ulariaga N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Poggi V. ⚽, Pino M. (A),
9', Brunet N. 🟨,
10', 1 - 1, Kabalin M. ⚽, Gonzalez A. (A),
41', 1 - 2, Rossi T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
67', Gonzalez A. ↓, Menendez J. ↑,
67', Kabalin M. ↓, Marra L. ↑,
69', Guerrero A. ↓, Fernandez R. ↑,
74', Parisi L. ↓, Uriel P. ↑,
74', Benegas M. ↓, Dening E. ↑,
76', Schamine B. ↓, Cairus F. ↑,
76', Rodriguez A. ↓, Ulariaga N. ↑,
83', Uriel P. 🟥,
85', Pena Biafore L. ↓, Gomez N. ↑,
90', Pino M. ↓, Milo F. ↑,
90', Poggi V. ↓, Andrada J. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 3, Ulariaga N. ⚽, Milo F. (A),
90+3', Fernandez R. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Ferro Carril is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Godoy Cruz has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Ferro Carril is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferro Carril won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.07.26	Deportivo Morón - Ferro Carril Oeste	4:0 ✺
17.07.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Colón	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	San Miguel - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:1 ✺
05.07.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - San Telmo	2:1 ✺
21.06.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Deportivo Morón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWWW
- Godoy Cruz
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.07.26	Godoy Cruz - Central Norte	2:1 ✺
12.07.26	Godoy Cruz - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Godoy Cruz	3:1 ✺
21.06.26	Central Norte - Godoy Cruz	1:0 ✺
14.06.26	Almirante Brown - Godoy Cruz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.03.26	Godoy Cruz - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:1

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