The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ferrocarril Midland 54.1%
Draw 29.6%
Acassuso 16.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.2%
32.1%
25.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.5%
31.1%
24.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferrocarril Midland's performance.
Acassuso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Acassuso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferrocarril Midland that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Acassuso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
11.1%
22.2%
Ferrocarril Midland - Acassuso Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Ferrocarril will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Acassuso will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ferrocarril: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Leguiza M. (G) 4. Diaz Laharque L. 2. Cepeda G. 6. Gonzalez F. 3. Casarico P. 7. Rogoski M. 5. Camano J. 10. Roseti M. 11. Campana A. I. 8. Torancio E. 9. Perales J.
1. Monllor M. (G) 4. Borges S. 2. Bellatti S. D. N. 6. Ghiraldello J. 3. Ruiz A. (C) 8. Petillo N. 5. Cancio J. 7. Reynoso R. 10. Hermoso A. 9. Schlotthauer M. 11. Senn F.
Substitutes
14. Aguilar D. 12. Escobar L. (G) 17. Flores M. 16. Frattini M. 15. Gargiulo V. 18. Gigli L. 13. Porro E. 19. Primante S. 20. Vega J.
18. Acosta N. 12. Atamanuk C. (G) 15. De Stefano D. 13. Dordoni B. 19. Gomez Y. 17. Perez P. 14. Ponce J. 16. Raccio J. 20. Rodriguez T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Ruiz A. 🟨,
33', Ruiz A. 🟨,
36', Monllor M. 🟨,
37', Reynoso R. ↓, Dordoni B. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Camano J. ↓, Frattini M. ↑,
53', 1 - 0, Perales J. ⚽, Campana A. I. (A),
68', Hermoso A. ↓, Raccio J. ↑,
68', Monllor M. ↓, Acosta N. ↑,
70', Raccio J. 🟨,
74', Campana A. I. ↓, Vega J. ↑,
74', Torancio E. ↓, Porro E. ↑,
81', Perales J. ↓, Primante S. ↑,
83', Rodriguez T. 🟨,
89', Schlotthauer M. ↓, Gomez Y. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 9).
Ferrocarril is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Acassuso has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Ferrocarril may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Acassuso has had a series of away games.
In this match, Ferrocarril is considered a favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ferrocarril won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ferrocarril won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Ferrocarril Midland - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.22%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Acassuso - the odds 3.63 are the expected chance of winning is 25.71%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Leguiza M. (G) 
Petillo N. 
Flores M. 
