Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 2

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes (Quilmes)


	Quilmes		Ferrocarril Midland

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.25	Watch
	2.32	2.88	3.25
	1.76	2.91	4.8
	2.35	2.78	3.59	Watch
	2.38	2.8	3.1
	2.31	3.02	3.27	Watch
	1.8	3.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.8)	2.94 ↓ (3.11)	3.75 ↓ (5.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quilmes
43.2%

Draw
31.8%

Ferrocarril Midland
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

30.1%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Quilmes's form might have worsened.

Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferrocarril Midland's recent form is better than expected.

Quilmes - Ferrocarril Midland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marinelli G. (G) 4. Vallejos M. 2. Kippes A. 6. Recalde L. 3. Bindella A. 8. Martinez R. 5. Yangali J. 10. Vera U. 11. Fernandez M. 7. Lavezzi A. 9. Dominguez A.	1. Leguiza M. (G) 4. Diaz Laharque L. 2. Cepeda G. 6. Gonzalez F. 3. Casarico P. 7. Rogoski M. 5. Violini N. (C) 10. Roseti M. 11. Campana A. I. 9. Cao R. 8. Torancio E.
Substitutes
20. Barreto J. 18. Batista A. 14. Bolivar A. 12. Glellel E. (G) 17. Luna R. 15. Marghetich T. 16. Ortega T. 13. Rasso I. 19. Spetale A.	15. Aguilar D. 17. Flores M. 12. Garcia Rossi S. (G) 13. Gigli L. 16. Penepil M. 19. Perales J. 14. Porro E. 20. Vega J. 18. Vico L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vera U. ↓, Luna R. ↑,
58', Fernandez M. ↓, Ortega T. ↑,
58', Lavezzi A. ↓, Spetale A. ↑,
65', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
66', Cao R. ↓, Perales J. ↑,
66', Campana A. I. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
72', Dominguez A. ↓, Barreto J. ↑,
75', Roseti M. ↓, Porro E. ↑,
81', Martinez R. ↓, Batista A. ↑,
86', Rogoski M. ↓, Gigli L. ↑,
86', Torancio E. ↓, Aguilar D. ↑,

Preview

In this match, Quilmes is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.02.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Quilmes - Tristán Suárez	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Quilmes	1:1 ✺
22.09.25	Quilmes - Güemes	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Patronato Parana - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTTL
- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.02.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Ferrocarril Midland	2:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
21.01.26	Argentinos Juniors - Ferrocarril Midland	1:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Primera B
15.11.25	Deportivo Flandria - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Fénix	4:0 ✺
01.11.25	Deportivo Laferrere - Ferrocarril Midland	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 40.3 LWLWW

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