Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 5

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium (Buenos Aires)


	Ferrocarril Midland		Club Almagro

	1	X	2
	1.86	2.85	5	Watch
	1.9	2.95	4.33
	1.92	2.92	4.45
	1.92	3.04	4.98
	1.93	2.9	4.99	Watch
	1.91	2.8	4.6
	1.86	2.83	4.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.19)	2.9 ↑ (2.71)	4.74 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrocarril Midland
48.6%

Draw
31.9%

Club Almagro
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

33.8%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferrocarril Midland's performance.

Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Ferrocarril Midland - Club Almagro Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ferrocarril will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Almagro will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferrocarril (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leguiza M. (G) 4. Diaz Laharque L. 2. Cepeda G. 6. Gonzalez F. 3. Casarico P. 5. Violini N. 7. Rogoski M. 8. Flores M. 11. Campana A. I. 10. Roseti M. 9. Cao R.	1. Gonzalez E. (G) 6. Flores J. 4. Cortave M. 2. Vitale J. 3. Silcan E. 8. Marchioni J. 5. Ubeda S. 10. Bustamante F. 11. Macies T. 7. Palacio P. 9. Belinetz O.
Substitutes
15. Camano J. 12. Escobar L. (G) 20. Flores 16. Frattini M. 13. Gigli L. 17. Penepil M. 19. Perales J. 14. Porro E. 18. Vico L.	19. Benegas M. 17. Bustos J. 18. Lopez T. 13. Marco F. 16. Martinez E. 20. Orlando J. 14. Tolosa N. 15. Villalobos 12. Zozaya J. P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Marchioni J. ↓, Benegas M. ↑,
37', Ubeda S. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Rogoski M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ubeda S. ↓, Marco F. ↑,
46', Bustamante F. ↓, Bustos J. ↑,
52', Casarico P. 🟨,
60', Benegas M. 🟨,
66', Cao R. ↓, Gigli L. ↑,
66', Campana A. I. ↓, Perales J. ↑,
72', Silcan E. ↓, Lopez T. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Lopez T. ⚽, Bustos J. (A),
82', Gonzalez F. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
82', Diaz Laharque L. ↓, Vico L. ↑,
87', Palacio P. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,

Preview

Almagro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ferrocarril is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Club Almagro - the odds 3.75 are the expected chance of winning is 24.42%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.03.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Colegiales	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Quilmes - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0 ✺
16.02.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Ferrocarril Midland	2:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
21.01.26	Argentinos Juniors - Ferrocarril Midland	1:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Primera B
15.11.25	Deportivo Flandria - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 41.5 WTLWL
- Club Almagro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.02.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Club Almagro	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Club Almagro - San Martín de Tucumán	0:1 ✺
13.02.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Club Almagro	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Club Almagro - Güemes	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Patronato Parana - Club Almagro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLTLT

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