Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA C - ROUND 19

Date: 29 May 2023, Monday


	Ferrocarril Midland		Atlético Claypole

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.75	3
	2.45	2.7	3
	2.29	2.67	3.19
	2.1	2.9	3.4
	2.35	2.84	3.24	Watch
	2.33	2.8	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.36)	2.78 ↓ (2.79)	3.17 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrocarril Midland
39%

Draw
32.5%

Atlético Claypole
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

32.7%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

31.6%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Atlético Claypole have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Claypole than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Ferrocarril Midland - Atlético Claypole Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Ferrocarril is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Atlético Claypole is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético Claypole could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ferrocarril will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ferrocarril won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferrocarril won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera C
22.05.23	Deportivo Español - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1 ✺
14.05.23	Ferrocarril Midland - Sportivo Italiano	1:0 ✺
06.05.23	Berazategui - Ferrocarril Midland	0:1 ✺
30.04.23	Ferrocarril Midland - Club Luján	0:1 ✺
24.04.23	Real Pilar - Ferrocarril Midland	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TWWLW
- Atlético Claypole
Argentinian Primera C
15.05.23	Atlético Claypole - Deportivo Español	4:2 ✺
06.05.23	Sportivo Italiano - Atlético Claypole	3:0 ✺
02.05.23	Atlético Claypole - Berazategui	0:1 ✺
23.04.23	Club Luján - Atlético Claypole	1:1 ✺
17.04.23	Atlético Claypole - Real Pilar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
05.11.22	Ferrocarril Midland - Atlético Claypole	4:1
24.07.22	Atlético Claypole - Ferrocarril Midland	2:0
20.03.22	Ferrocarril Midland - Atlético Claypole	2:0
19.09.21	Atlético Claypole - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0
03.05.21	Ferrocarril Midland - Atlético Claypole	1:1

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