Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal da Malata (Ferrol)

Referee: Roman F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana, Footballclub, TVG


	Ferrol		Pontevedra

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3
	2.25	2.95	2.95
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.31	2.97	3.18
	2.32	3.08	3.2	Watch
	2.25	2.85	3.1
	2.26	3.39	3.22
	2.2	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.2)	3.04 ↓ (3.11)	3.09 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
40.5%

Draw
30%

Pontevedra
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

29.8%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

30.7%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Ferrol - Pontevedra Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ferrol will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Pontevedra will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diaz L. (G) 2. Miguel 5. Monjonell E. 4. Novoa G. 17. Ramon A. 16. Blanco R. 6. Gonzalez F. (C) 14. Bernal J. 10. Ojeda D. 9. Ropero U. 18. Eto'o E.	1. Marqueta R. (G) 16. Vidorreta A. 15. Alba D. 5. Perez A. 2. Argos A. 6. Ivorra I. 10. Pino Y. (C) 20. Rui Pedro 17. Gil A. 22. Comparada Gonzalez A. 14. Macias L.
Substitutes
20. Alcaina R. 19. Arroyo R. 11. Bujan E. 15. Castro D. 23. Djanbou S. 8. Esquerdo V. 13. Fernandez C. G. (G) 21. Garcia A. 22. Garcia S.	23. Bravo M. 21. Charid I. 11. Elejalde I. 18. Ergouai R. 13. Galindo I. (G) 3. Gaye P. 7. Gonzalez A. 4. Juanra 9. Mba D. 19. Omoregbe B. 8. Ramos J.
Coaches
Vazquez J.	Dominguez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Monjonell E. 🟨,
24', Vidorreta A. 🟨,
36', Argos A. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Eto'o E. ⚽, Ramon A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Gil A. 🟥,
63', Alba D. ↓, Mba D. ↑,
63', Argos A. ↓, Ergouai R. ↑,
63', Ivorra I. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
65', Miguel ↓, Castro D. ↑,
66', Monjonell E. ↓, Arroyo R. ↑,
71', Macias L. ↓, Elejalde I. ↑,
75', Blanco R. ↓, Bujan E. ↑,
75', Eto'o E. ↓, Alcaina R. ↑,
81', Castro D. 🟨,
82', Pino Y. ↓, Omoregbe B. ↑,
87', 2 - 0, Ojeda D. ⚽, Bujan E. (A),
89', Ojeda D. ↓, Esquerdo V. ↑,
90+1', Comparada Gonzalez A. 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 12th and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 3.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Ferrol may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Ferrol is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Ferrol has recorded 9 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:17 (averaging 1.5:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ferrol against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 12:8 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Racing Club Ferrol	6	3	1	2	7:5	2	10
11	Pontevedra	6	2	2	2	8:8	0	8

Last Results with these Odds

Ferrol - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.19%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.09.26	Lugo - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Ferrol - Barakaldo	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Ferrol - Real Unión de Irun	3:2 ✺
06.09.26	CD Extremadura - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Ferrol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWLT
- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.09.26	Pontevedra - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	UD Logroñés - Pontevedra	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Pontevedra - Athletic Bilbao B	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Pontevedra - Arenas Club de Getxo	4:1 ✺
28.08.26	Real Avilés - Pontevedra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.05.26	Ferrol - Pontevedra	0:0
03.01.26	Pontevedra - Ferrol	2:1
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Pontevedra - Ferrol	1:5
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.02.23	Ferrol - Pontevedra	2:0
04.12.22	Pontevedra - Ferrol	0:2
Club Friendly
08.08.21	Pontevedra - Ferrol	1:3
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.01.21	Pontevedra - Ferrol	0:1

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