The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pontevedra 44.1%
Draw 30.9%
Ponferradina 25%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.8%
29.8%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.4%
30.3%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pontevedra's performance.
Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ponferradina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ponferradina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pontevedra - Ponferradina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Marqueta R. (G) 2. Argos A. 5. Perez A. 18. Ergouai R. 16. Vidorreta A. 6. Ivorra I. 10. Pino Y. (C) 11. Elejalde I. 21. Charid I. 14. Macias L. 22. Comparada Gonzalez A.
1. Dominguez A. (G) 24. Koke 2. Andujar D. (C) 4. Jelbat A. 3. Nieto S. 7. Calderon C. 6. San Emeterio F. 10. Valle B. 8. Molina A. 12. Sabroso U. 17. Chibozo J.
Substitutes
15. Alba D. 23. Bravo M. 13. Galindo I. (G) 17. Gil A. 7. Gonzalez A. 9. Mba D. 19. Omoregbe B. 8. Ramos J.
25. Abedzadeh A. (G) 13. Alvin (G) 14. Aranda J. L. 11. Bari Q. 18. de Leon J. 21. Faye S. 22. Hernandez E. 19. Munoz P. 23. Roig A. 9. Slavy 16. Tounkara N. 15. Vacas O.
Coaches
Dominguez R.
Nafti M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Andujar D. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Comparada Gonzalez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sabroso U. ↓, de Leon J. ↑,
46', Chibozo J. ↓, Bari Q. ↑,
46', Koke ↓, Vacas O. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Ivorra I. (Own goal),
61', Charid I. ↓, Mba D. ↑,
61', Elejalde I. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
63', Calderon C. 🟨,
71', Ergouai R. ↓, Alba D. ↑,
73', Ramos J. 🟨,
73', Marqueta R. 🟨,
76', San Emeterio F. 🟨,
77', Macias L. ↓, Gil A. ↑,
83', San Emeterio F. ↓, Munoz P. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pontevedra won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Pontevedra could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Pontevedra holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Pontevedra has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:6 (averaging 1:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pontevedra against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:3 goals (averaging 1.8:0.8 per game).
Spain
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Marqueta R. (G) 
Ergouai R. 
Macias L. 
Chibozo J. 
Mba D. 
Omoregbe B. 
Ramos J. 
Abedzadeh A. (G) 
Bari Q. 
de Leon J. 
Faye S. 
Slavy 
Nafti M. 
