Match Info

Paulista A2 - Second stage - Round 2

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports


	Ferroviária		Sertãozinho

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.85	7
	1.48	3.77	6.67	Watch
	1.5	3.5	6.5
	1.45	3.72	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.6)	3.71 ↑ (3.65)	6.79 ↑ (5.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviária
61.9%

Draw
24.6%

Sertãozinho
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

25.1%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

24%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Sertãozinho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferroviária that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sertãozinho than the current prediction. (+5%)

Ferroviária - Sertãozinho Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Luketa ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 0 - 2, Matheus Prado ⚽,
62', 1 - 2, Douglas Skilo ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ferroviária may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ferroviária is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferroviária won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Including home match between the teams, Ferroviária won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
15.03.26	CA Juventus - Ferroviária	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Ferroviária - Linense	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Grêmio Prudente - Ferroviária	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Ferroviária - Votuporanguense	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Ferroviária - Atlético Monte Azul	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWLW
- Sertãozinho FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
14.03.26	Sertãozinho - São José-SP	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	São José-SP - Sertãozinho	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Atlético Monte Azul - Sertãozinho	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Sertãozinho - Internacional de Limeira	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Santo André - Sertãozinho	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
14.02.26	Ferroviária - Sertãozinho	3:2

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