Match Info

Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 14

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Paulo Constantino (Presidente Prudente)


	Grêmio Prudente		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.62	3.15	Watch
	2.45	2.67	3.31
	2.41	2.65	3.33	Watch
	2.38	2.7	3.1
	2.4	2.92	3.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.55)	2.71 ↓ (2.96)	3.22 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Prudente
38%

Draw
33.7%

Ferroviária
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

30.9%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

31.3%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Prudente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Prudente than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Grêmio Prudente - Ferroviária Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 0 - 1, ⚽,
86', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A3 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )).

Ferroviária is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Grêmio Prudente won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Prudente
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
25.02.26	Água Santa - Grêmio Prudente	4:3 ✺
22.02.26	Linense - Grêmio Prudente	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Grêmio Prudente - Internacional de Limeira	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Santo André - Grêmio Prudente	1:0 ✺
11.02.26	Grêmio Prudente - Atlético Monte Azul	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWTLT
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
25.02.26	Ferroviária - Votuporanguense	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Ferroviária - Atlético Monte Azul	1:0 ✺
18.02.26	São José-SP - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Ferroviária - Sertãozinho	3:2 ✺
11.02.26	Água Santa - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
08.03.25	Ferroviária - Grêmio Prudente	3:1

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