Match Info
Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finalsDate: 12 July 2026, SundayLocation: Estadio Presidente Vargas (Fortaleza)
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Ferroviário Fortaleza |
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Imperatriz de Desportos |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.46 |
4.10 |
5.50 |
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1.49 |
3.65 |
5.80 |
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1.57 |
3.44 |
6.22 |
Watch |
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1.45 |
3.55 |
6.65 |
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1.48 |
3.55 |
6.91 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.49 ↓ (1.54) |
3.66 ↑ (3.5) |
6.22 ↑ (5.9) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ferroviário Fortaleza 60.7% | Draw 24.7% | Imperatriz de Desportos 14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Imperatriz de Desportos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imperatriz de Desportos than the current prediction. (+0.1%)Ferroviário Fortaleza - Imperatriz de Desportos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+7', 1 - 0, Pedrinho ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 71', 🟥,
- 81', 2 - 0, Lucas Black ⚽,
- 90+1', 3 - 0, Raphael Freitas ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 1-1.Right now, both teams are showing solid form.Imperatriz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Ferroviário is the clear favorite.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ferroviário won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).Including home match between the teams, Ferroviário won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 04.07.26 | Imperatriz de Desportos - Ferroviário Fortaleza | 1:1 | | Brazilian Serie C | | | 26.09.20 | Imperatriz de Desportos - Ferroviário Fortaleza | 1:2 | | 17.08.19 | Imperatriz de Desportos - Ferroviário Fortaleza | 0:0 | | 15.06.19 | Ferroviário Fortaleza - Imperatriz de Desportos | 2:1 |
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