Match Info

Date: 16 February 2022, Wednesday


	Ferroviário Fortaleza		Pacajus

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.6	4.5
	1.65	3.6	4.25
	1.7	3.4	4.4
	1.7	3.68	3.94
	1.67	3.3	4.75
	1.72	3.62	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.48)	3.53 ↓ (3.88)	4.37 ↓ (5.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviário Fortaleza
53.8%

Draw
25.5%

Pacajus
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

23.3%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

14.8%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferroviário Fortaleza's form might have worsened.

Pacajus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferroviário Fortaleza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pacajus than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Ferroviário Fortaleza - Pacajus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Cearense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Cearense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ferroviário won 3.

Recent matches Ferroviário is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pacajus is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Ferroviário is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ferroviário won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferroviário won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
12.02.22	Icasa - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
08.02.22	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Maracanã	1:1 ✺
05.02.22	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Atlético Cearense	1:1 ✺
02.02.22	Caucaia - Ferroviário Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
30.01.22	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Iguatu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TTTTW
- Pacajus EC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
12.02.22	Maracanã - Pacajus	1:2 ✺
08.02.22	Pacajus - Icasa	1:0 ✺
05.02.22	Pacajus - Crato	5:0 ✺
02.02.22	Iguatu - Pacajus	1:0 ✺
30.01.22	Pacajus - Caucaia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
24.01.22	Pacajus - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:4
17.05.21	Pacajus - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:2
17.02.21	Pacajus - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:0
15.03.20	Pacajus - Ferroviário Fortaleza	0:1
22.01.20	Pacajus - Ferroviário Fortaleza	0:0
Club Friendly
11.09.19	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Pacajus	1:0

Ferroviário Fortaleza - Pacajus: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide