Match Info

BRAZIL: Cearense - Round 4

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Presidente Vargas (Fortaleza)


	Ferroviário Fortaleza		Maracanã

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.95
	2.27	2.9	3.05
	2.24	3.1	3.2
	2.26	2.98	3.22	Watch
	2.23	3.1	3.21
	2.27	2.9	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.43)	3.01 ↓ (3.14)	3.11 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviário Fortaleza
40.5%

Draw
30.2%

Maracanã
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

28.9%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

29%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Maracanã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maracanã than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Ferroviário Fortaleza - Maracanã Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sivaldo Junior (G) 11. Allanzinho 8. Gharib (C) 3. Jeffao 4. Joao Cubas 22. Kaue Leonardo 9. Kiuan 14. Pablo Alves 17. Rivas K. 15. Wesley Junio 18. Willyam Maranhao	23. Rayr (G) 14. Jairo (C) 6. Leandro Cerqueira 11. Luis Soares 21. Matheus Taumaturgo 8. Michel Pires 13. Rafael Mandacaru 17. Testinha 22. Vinicius Caninde 4. Wendell 15. Wilker
Substitutes
6. Carlos Junio 99. Ciel 21. Gustavo Barbosa 23. Iago Reis 10. Janeudo 29. Joao Soares (G) 5. Joao Vitor 13. Lucas Ramires 19. Matheus Xavier 2. Rikelmy 20. Rodrigo Fuzil	25. Alan Ferreira 9. Bravo 7. Davi Torres 3. Edimar 2. Joao Carlos 18. Luan Lucas 27. Shider 12. Vitor (G) 28. Willian Fazendinha 20. Xandy

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Luis Soares ↓, Davi Torres ↑,
46', Matheus Taumaturgo ↓, Bravo ↑,
59', Pablo Alves ↓, Carlos Junio ↑,
59', Willyam Maranhao ↓, Janeudo ↑,
59', Gharib ↓, Gustavo Barbosa ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Jeffao ⚽,
64', Leandro Cerqueira ↓, Xandy ↑,
64', Rafael Mandacaru ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
67', Wilker ↓, Willian Fazendinha ↑,
69', Kiuan ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
73', Rivas K. ↓, Ciel ↑,
74', Xandy 🟨,

Preview

Ferroviário is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Maracanã is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferroviário could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ferroviário have a series of home games.

Recently Maracanã have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ferroviário won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.4:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Ferroviário won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
29.01.25	Floresta - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:3 ✺
26.01.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Ceará	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.01.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Sport Recife	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
19.01.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Horizonte	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.01.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Treze	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLLW
- Maracanã EC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
30.01.25	Fortaleza - Maracanã	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Maracanã - Tirol	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Iguatu - Maracanã	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.01.25	CS Alagoano - Maracanã	1:0 ✺
04.01.25	ABC - Maracanã	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
17.02.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Maracanã	0:0
25.02.23	Maracanã - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:3
11.02.23	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Maracanã	2:0
08.02.22	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Maracanã	1:1
18.01.22	Maracanã - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1

Ferroviário Fortaleza - Maracanã: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide