Match Info

Date: 24 July 2022, Sunday


	Ferroviário Fortaleza		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.8	3
	2.5	2.85	2.8
	2.15	3	3.25
	2.42	2.92	3.32
	2.38	2.75	2.88
	2.45	2.97	2.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.7)	2.88 ↑ (2.87)	3.04 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviário Fortaleza
38.4%

Draw
31.6%

Vitória Salvador
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

31.4%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

33.1%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferroviário Fortaleza's performance.

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitória Salvador might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	41.7%	16.7%

Ferroviário Fortaleza - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ferroviário will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Vitória will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferroviário: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 11).

Ferroviário is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vitória is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vitória could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ferroviário won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferroviário won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie C
16.07.22	Campinense - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:0 ✺
09.07.22	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
02.07.22	Manaus - Ferroviário Fortaleza	4:2 ✺
26.06.22	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Floresta	0:2 ✺
18.06.22	Brasil de Pelotas - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie C
17.07.22	Vitória Salvador - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
10.07.22	EC São José Porto Alegre - Vitória Salvador	1:2 ✺
02.07.22	Vitória Salvador - Figueirense	2:0 ✺
25.06.22	Altos - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
19.06.22	Vitória Salvador - Botafogo SP	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
21.03.18	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Vitória Salvador	1:4
01.02.18	Vitória Salvador - Ferroviário Fortaleza	4:1

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