Match Info

Date: 18 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Barradao (Salvador)


	Vitória Salvador		Figueirense

	1	X	2
	2	2.95	3.5
	2	2.9	3.8
	2.04	3	3.5
	2.02	3.02	4.19
	2	2.8	3.7
	1.96	3.13	3.8	Watch
	2.05	3.05	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.17)	2.98 ↓ (3)	3.72 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória Salvador
45.1%

Draw
30.5%

Figueirense
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30.3%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

31.8%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Vitória Salvador - Figueirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 3 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitória won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Figueirense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Vitória will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Vitória won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Vitória won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie C
10.09.22	ABC - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
04.09.22	Vitória Salvador - ABC	0:0 ✺
28.08.22	Figueirense - Vitória Salvador	5:1 ✺
21.08.22	Vitória Salvador - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
13.08.22	Vitória Salvador - Brasil de Pelotas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTLWW
- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie C
11.09.22	Paysandu - Figueirense	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Figueirense - Paysandu	2:1 ✺
28.08.22	Figueirense - Vitória Salvador	5:1 ✺
20.08.22	ABC - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
13.08.22	Figueirense - ABC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
28.08.22	Figueirense - Vitória Salvador	5:1
02.07.22	Vitória Salvador - Figueirense	2:0
Brazilian Serie B
12.11.20	Vitória Salvador - Figueirense	3:0
11.08.20	Figueirense - Vitória Salvador	0:0
02.11.19	Vitória Salvador - Figueirense	2:2
30.07.19	Figueirense - Vitória Salvador	1:1
Brazilian Serie A
20.11.16	Vitória Salvador - Figueirense	4:0

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