Match Info

Mocambola - Round 16

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday


	Ferroviário de Maputo		Costa do Sol

	1	X	2
	2.10	2.65	3.70
	1.74	3.10	4.35
	2.13	2.78	3.55
	2.16	2.83	3.61	Watch
	2.10	2.75	3.50
	2.16	2.92	3.40
	2.09	2.75	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.72)	2.83 ↓ (3.15)	3.67 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviário de Maputo
43.6%

Draw
31.9%

Costa do Sol
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

28.1%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviário de Maputo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferroviário de Maputo's form might have worsened.

Costa do Sol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 1)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferro de Maputo won 0.

In recent matches, Costa do Sol has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ferro de Maputo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ferro de Maputo is considered a favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ferro de Maputo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferro de Maputo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Costa do Sol	19	11	4	4	26:12	14	37
4	Ferroviario Maputo	20	8	5	7	15:11	4	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferroviário de Maputo
Mozambique Moçambola
06.08.26	Ferroviário de Maputo - Baía de Pemba	0:0 ✺
27.07.26	Ferroviário de Maputo - Ferroviario Lichinga	2:0 ✺
25.06.26	ENH Vilankulo - Ferroviário de Maputo	0:0 ✺
21.06.26	Ferroviário de Maputo - Ferroviário da Beira	0:1 ✺
18.06.26	Ferroviário de Maputo - Sofala	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWTLW
- CD Costa do Sol
Mozambique Moçambola
19.08.26	Baía de Pemba - Costa do Sol	1:0 ✺
11.08.26	Costa do Sol - Ferroviário de Nampula	0:0 ✺
05.08.26	Costa do Sol - Ferroviário de Nacala	3:0 ✺
19.07.26	Costa do Sol - ENH Vilankulo	2:1 ✺
26.06.26	Ferroviario Lichinga - Costa do Sol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Mozambique Moçambola
09.05.26	Costa do Sol - Ferroviário de Maputo	1:0
24.11.25	Costa do Sol - Ferroviário de Maputo	2:1
18.08.24	Costa do Sol - Ferroviário de Maputo	1:1
28.04.24	Ferroviário de Maputo - Costa do Sol	0:1
23.09.23	Costa do Sol - Ferroviário de Maputo	2:2
28.05.23	Ferroviário de Maputo - Costa do Sol	1:2
26.11.22	Costa do Sol - Ferroviário de Maputo	1:2

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