Match Info

Paulista U20 - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday


	Ferroviaria U20		Ibrachina U20

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.35	2.52
	2.46	3.32	2.52
	2.90	3.27	2.30	Watch
	2.25	3.56	2.6
	2.08	3.66	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.07)	3.43 ↓ (3.53)	2.55 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviaria U20
37.7%

Draw
26.5%

Ibrachina U20
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

25.8%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

28.2%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviaria U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferroviaria U20's form might have worsened.

Ibrachina U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ibrachina U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviaria U20 than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferroviaria U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibrachina U20 than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ibrachina U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ferroviaria U20 - Ibrachina U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

Ferroviaria U20 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ibrachina U20 is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ferroviaria U20 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Ferroviaria U20 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferroviária U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
12.09.25	Ferroviaria U20 - Mirassol U20	4:2 ✺
05.09.25	Mirassol U20 - Ferroviaria U20	2:2 ✺
12.08.25	Ferroviaria U20 - EC São Bernardo U20	2:1 ✺
06.08.25	Sfera U20 - Ferroviaria U20	2:1 ✺
25.07.25	Ferroviaria U20 - Grêmio Osasco Audax U20	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTWLW
- Ibrachina FC U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
12.09.25	Ibrachina U20 - Grêmio Osasco Audax U20	6:0 ✺
05.09.25	Grêmio Osasco Audax U20 - Ibrachina U20	0:4 ✺
12.08.25	Ibrachina U20 - CA Bandeirante U20	4:0 ✺
06.08.25	Flamengo de Guarulhos U20 - Ibrachina U20	0:3 ✺
25.07.25	Ibrachina U20 - Mauá U20	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
06.09.24	Ferroviaria U20 - Ibrachina U20	1:1
22.08.24	Ibrachina U20 - Ferroviaria U20	3:0

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