The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ponte Preta U20 13.1%
Draw 18.6%
Santos U20 68.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
12.8%
18.3%
68.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
11.9%
17.1%
71%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponte Preta U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Santos U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta U20 than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos U20 than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Ponte Preta U20 - Santos U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
34', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 2, ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
First leg.
A mid-table host welcomes the league leaders in an exciting contest (ranked 8th in the Promotion - Paulista U20 Playoffs - 1/16 - finals and 1st in the Promotion - Paulista U20 Playoffs - 1/16 - finals).
Ponte Preta U20 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Santos U20 shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Santos U20 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Santos U20 holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Ponte Preta U20 has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ponte Preta U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.