Match Info

Date: 21 October 2020, Wednesday


	Ferroviária		Bangu

	1	X	2
	1.45	4	6
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.52	3.8	5.2
	1.51	3.82	5.95
	1.52	3.6	5.8
	1.55	4.05	5.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.6)	3.81 ↓ (3.94)	5.52 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviária
59.7%

Draw
23.8%

Bangu
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

23.3%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

14%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Bangu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-25.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferroviária that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangu than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bangu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Ferroviária could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ferroviária is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ferroviária won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie D
17.10.20	Bangu - Ferroviária	1:3 ✺
14.10.20	Ferroviária - Cabofriense	3:1 ✺
11.10.20	Mirassol - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
04.10.20	Deportivo Toledo - Ferroviária	2:6 ✺
30.09.20	Ferroviária - FC Cascavel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWT
- Bangu AC
Brazilian Serie D
17.10.20	Bangu - Ferroviária	1:3 ✺
11.10.20	Nacional PR - Bangu	1:2 ✺
03.10.20	Bangu - Cabofriense	2:2 ✺
30.09.20	Portuguesa RJ - Bangu	0:2 ✺
26.09.20	Bangu - FC Cascavel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
17.10.20	Bangu - Ferroviária	1:3

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