The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ferroviária 36.5%
Draw 31.7%
Grêmio Novorizontino 31.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.9%
32.4%
32.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
31.2%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
20%
40%
Ferroviária - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferroviária (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Denis Junior (G) 2. Lucas Rodrigues 44. Maycon 22. Ronaldo Alves (C) 66. Edson Lucas 5. Ricardinho 10. Fabricio Daniel 29. Tarik 25. Ian Luccas 77. Juninho 92. Carlao
93. Jordi (G) 2. Rodrigo Soares (C) 26. Dantas 37. Cesar Martins 77. Mayk 47. Fabio Matheus 6. Luis Oyama 17. Bruno Jose 25. Romulo 10. Matheus Frizzo 99. Nathan Fogaca
Substitutes
8. Alencar 13. Gustavo Medina 27. Hernani 7. Kevin 1. Leo Wall (G) 9. Ronaldo 39. Thayllon 37. Thiago Lopes 11. Vitor Barreto 4. Vitor Mendes 17. Ze Hugo 31. Ze Mario
1. Airton (G) 90. Caio Dantas 19. Leo Tocantins 9. Lucca 4. Patrick 88. Patrick Brey 3. Rafael Donato 40. Rai Ramos 11. Robson 22. Ruiz O. 15. Tavinho
Coaches
Vinicius Bergantin
Moreira E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Fabricio Daniel (Pen),
44', 1 - 1, Bruno Jose ⚽, Mayk (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tarik ↓, Alencar ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Nathan Fogaca ⚽, Bruno Jose (A),
54', Edson Lucas ↓, Ze Mario ↑,
55', Fabricio Daniel ↓, Ze Hugo ↑,
56', Bruno Jose ↓, Tavinho ↑,
63', Fabio Matheus 🟨,
65', Ian Luccas ↓, Vitor Barreto ↑,
69', Nathan Fogaca ↓, Robson ↑,
70', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Patrick Brey ↑,
76', Carlao ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
79', Dantas 🟥,
80', Luis Oyama 🟨,
81', Romulo ↓, Patrick ↑,
86', Robson 🟨,
88', Ronaldo 🟨,
90+8', Robson (Pen),
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 0.
Recent performances by Ferroviária have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Novorizontino's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Novorizontino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Ferroviária: Albano
(Inactive)
Denilson
(Inactive)
Netinho
(Inactive)
Vitor Mendes
(Inactive)
There will not play in Novorizontino: Jean Irmer
(Yellow Cards)
Marlon
(Inactive)
Renato Palm
(Knee Injury)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Ferroviária: Lucas Rodrigues
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Novorizontino: Airton
(Inactive)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviária won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Brazil
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Denis Junior (G) 
Hernani 
Ruiz O. 
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