Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 25

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday

Location: Estádio Couto Pereira (Curitiba)

Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Coritiba		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.7	6	Watch
	1.63	3.3	5.5
	1.58	3.6	6.1
	1.61	3.68	6.5
	1.68	3.25	5.96	Watch
	1.67	3.3	5.5
	1.63	3.65	5.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.63)	3.5 ↑ (3.4)	5.9 ↑ (5.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coritiba
57.7%

Draw
26.6%

Ferroviária
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

27.1%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

28%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Ferroviária aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	30.8%	30.8%

Coritiba - Ferroviária Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Ferroviária will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coritiba: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferroviária (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Morisco (G) 73. Zeca 3. Maicon (C) 23. Tiago Coser 16. Joao Almeida 70. Wallisson 11. Lucas Ronier 10. Josue 36. Vini Paulista 25. Clayson 99. Rodrigo Rodrigues	41. Denis Junior (G) 7. Kevin 13. Gustavo Medina 43. Joao Ramos 66. Edson Lucas 5. Ricardinho (C) 10. Fabricio Daniel 8. Alencar 25. Ian Luccas 77. Juninho 92. Carlao
Substitutes
67. Benassi (G) 49. Dellatorre 27. de Pena C. 22. Felipe Guimaraes 8. Filipe Machado 87. Gabriel Leite (G) 5. Geovane 15. Guilherme Aquino 9. Gustavo Coutinho 77. Iury Castilho 4. Rodrigo Moledo 97. Ruan Assis	14. Eric Melo 95. Filipe Costa (G) 27. Hernani 44. Maycon 9. Ronaldo 29. Tarik 39. Thayllon 37. Thiago Lopes 11. Vitor Barreto 17. Ze Hugo 31. Ze Mario
Coaches
Mozart	Vinicius Bergantin

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Wallisson 🟨,
37', Josue ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
43', Carlao 🟨,
45', Joao Almeida 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Alencar 🟨,
47', 1 - 0, Joao Ramos (Own goal),
59', 2 - 0, Rodrigo Rodrigues ⚽, de Pena C. (A),
61', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Gustavo Coutinho ↑,
61', Clayson ↓, Iury Castilho ↑,
65', Fabricio Daniel ↓, Hernani ↑,
65', Alencar ↓, Thiago Lopes ↑,
65', Juninho ↓, Ze Hugo ↑,
72', Wallisson ↓, Filipe Machado ↑,
73', 3 - 0, Iury Castilho ⚽, Gustavo Coutinho (A),
75', Carlao ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
75', Lucas Ronier 🟨,
86', Ian Luccas ↓, Tarik ↑,
88', 4 - 0, Gustavo Coutinho ⚽, Iury Castilho (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 13).

In recent matches, Coritiba has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ferroviária is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Coritiba is the team to beat.

There will not play in Coritiba: Alex Silva (Injury) Bruno Melo (Inactive) Gomez S. (Yellow Cards) Nicolas Careca (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Ferroviária: Denilson (Inactive) Ronaldo Alves (Yellow Cards) Vitor Barreto (Inactive) Vitor Mendes (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Coritiba won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B
29.08.25	Operário Ferroviario - Coritiba	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Coritiba - Remo	0:0 ✺
14.08.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Coritiba	1:2 ✺
08.08.25	Coritiba - Chapecoense	0:0 ✺
31.07.25	Vila Nova - Coritiba	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTWTW
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie B
01.09.25	Ferroviária - Cuiabá	2:2 ✺
24.08.25	Ferroviária - Volta Redonda	0:0 ✺
17.08.25	Atlético Goianiense - Ferroviária	1:3 ✺
08.08.25	Ferroviária - Amazonas	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	Remo - Ferroviária	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
02.05.25	Ferroviária - Coritiba	2:1

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