Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A2 - Round 15

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	Ferroviária		Grêmio Prudente

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.3	3.8
	1.75	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.76	3.37	4.47
	1.75	3.47	4.4	Watch
	1.73	3.52	4.56
	1.75	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.87)	3.41 ↑ (3.33)	4.27 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviária
51.7%

Draw
26.8%

Grêmio Prudente
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

27.5%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

27.1%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Grêmio Prudente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Prudente than the current prediction. (+2%)

Ferroviária - Grêmio Prudente Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Ian Luccas ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 0, Quirino ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 2 - 1, Vitor Braga ⚽,
77', 3 - 1, Ronaldo ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Ferroviária is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
01.03.25	Rio Claro - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
26.02.25	São Bento - Ferroviária	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Ferroviária - Portuguesa Santista	0:0 ✺
19.02.25	Piracicaba - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Ferroviária - São José-SP	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWTWL
- Grêmio Prudente
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
01.03.25	Grêmio Prudente - Santo André	0:0 ✺
26.02.25	Rio Claro - Grêmio Prudente	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Grêmio Prudente - Taubaté	1:2 ✺
19.02.25	CA Juventus - Grêmio Prudente	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Grêmio Prudente - Linense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTLTW

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