Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A2 - Round 12

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Ferroviária		Portuguesa Santista

	1	X	2
	1.43	4	6.6	Watch
	1.44	3.91	6.71
	1.44	4.01	6.86	Watch
	1.44	3.8	7
	1.43	4.1	7.22
	1.43	4	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.74)	3.97 ↑ (3.28)	6.83 ↑ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviária
63.6%

Draw
23%

Portuguesa Santista
13.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.2%

27.7%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

26.9%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferroviária's performance.

Portuguesa Santista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portuguesa Santista might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferroviária that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa Santista than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portuguesa Santista could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ferroviária - Portuguesa Santista Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A3).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Portuguesa Santista could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ferroviária is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ferroviária won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
19.02.25	Piracicaba - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Ferroviária - São José-SP	0:1 ✺
12.02.25	Linense - Ferroviária	2:2 ✺
09.02.25	Ferroviária - Santo André	2:2 ✺
05.02.25	Ferroviária - EC Primavera	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLTTT
- Portuguesa Santista
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
20.02.25	Portuguesa Santista - São José-SP	0:3 ✺
15.02.25	Rio Claro - Portuguesa Santista	1:1 ✺
12.02.25	Portuguesa Santista - Grêmio Prudente	0:2 ✺
08.02.25	Portuguesa Santista - Ituano	3:3 ✺
05.02.25	São Bento - Portuguesa Santista	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
06.02.24	Portuguesa Santista - Ferroviária	0:2

Ferroviária - Portuguesa Santista