Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PAULISTA - ROUND 6

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Dr. Adhemar de Barros (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)


	Ferroviária		São Bernardo

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.9	2.2	Watch
	3.2	3	2.35
	3.05	2.95	2.38	Watch
	2.29	2.9	2.85
	3.18	3.12	2.37
	3.1	2.8	2.3
	3.15	3.06	2.32	Watch
	3.1	2.95	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.37)	2.96 ↑ (2.73)	2.38 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ferroviária
30.3%

Draw
31.1%

São Bernardo
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

32.8%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

34.7%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferroviária's form might have worsened.

São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Bernardo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferroviária, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São Bernardo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ferroviária - São Bernardo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Ferroviária is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches São Bernardo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ferroviária won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferroviária won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
28.01.23	Santos - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
25.01.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Ferroviária	2:0 ✺
22.01.23	Ferroviária - Santo André	1:2 ✺
19.01.23	Ferroviária - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
15.01.23	Água Santa - Ferroviária	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLLLW
- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
29.01.23	São Bernardo - São Bento	2:0 ✺
26.01.23	Mirassol - São Bernardo	4:1 ✺
22.01.23	São Bernardo - Santos	1:1 ✺
18.01.23	São Bernardo - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
14.01.23	Internacional de Limeira - São Bernardo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
22.03.17	São Bernardo - Ferroviária	0:0
20.03.16	Ferroviária - São Bernardo	0:2

Upcoming Matches