Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 5

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Primeiro de Maio (Sao Bernardo)

Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Brasileirao Play, Caze TV, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping
Israel	Sport 1
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
Usa	Fanatiz
World	Fanatiz


	São Bernardo		Santos

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.35	Watch
	2.95	3.1	2.45
	3	3	2.5	Watch
	3.16	3.05	2.48
	3.1	3.04	2.41	Watch
	3	2.88	2.4
	3.06	3.02	2.36	Watch
	3	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 (3.02)	3.02 ↓ (3.3)	2.43 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bernardo
30.8%

Draw
30.8%

Santos
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

28.2%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for São Bernardo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

São Bernardo - Santos Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. São Bernardo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Santos will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Hugo Sanches 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Souza ↓, Vinicius Lira ↑,
46', Romisson ↓, Lucas Tocantins ↑,
46', Daniel Fabricio ↓, Emerson Santos ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Guilherme ⚽,
51', Vinicius Lira 🟨,
60', Leo Jaba ↓, Lucas Rian ↑,
60', Ze Ivaldo 🟨,
61', 1 - 1, Lucas Tocantins ⚽, Para (A),
64', Helder Maciel 🟨,
68', Joao Pedro Chermont ↓, Luca Meirelles ↑,
69', Emerson Santos 🟨,
77', Soteldo Y. ↓, Gabriel Bontempo ↑,
77', Guilherme Queiroz ↓, Felipe Azevedo ↑,
79', Lucas Lima 🟨,
84', Diego Pituca ↓, Joao Schmidt ↑,
84', Hugo Sanches ↓, Leo Duarte ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Augusto ⚽, Lucas Rian (A),
88', Augusto 🟨,
89', Guilherme 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 1, Lucas Rian ⚽, Felipe Azevedo (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches São Bernardo won 0.

Santos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches São Bernardo won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:13 (average 0.9:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams São Bernardo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:9 (average 0.8:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
26.01.25	Botafogo SP - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
23.01.25	São Bernardo - Mirassol	1:2 ✺
19.01.25	São Bernardo - Red Bull Bragantino	3:2 ✺
16.01.25	Água Santa - São Bernardo	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
05.10.24	São Bernardo - Volta Redonda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLWWL
- Santos FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
25.01.25	Velo Clube - Santos	2:1 ✺
22.01.25	Santos - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
19.01.25	Ponte Preta - Santos	1:1 ✺
16.01.25	Santos - Mirassol	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
24.11.24	Sport Recife - Santos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
25.02.24	Santos - São Bernardo	2:1
22.01.23	São Bernardo - Santos	1:1
10.02.22	Santos - São Bernardo	1:1
12.03.17	São Bernardo - Santos	1:4
30.01.16	Santos - São Bernardo	1:1
14.02.15	São Bernardo - Santos	0:1
19.01.13	São Bernardo - Santos	1:3

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