Match Info

Serie D - Round 8

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Antonio Mariz (Marizao) (Sousa)


	Sousa		Central SC

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.75	3.1
	2.3	2.72	3.25
	2.31	2.84	3.31
	2.39	2.64	3.45
	2.3	2.6	3.2
	2.32	2.72	3.3
	2.3	3.05	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.36)	2.76 ↓ (3.05)	3.21 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sousa
39.1%

Draw
32.7%

Central SC
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

29.8%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

30.4%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Central SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central SC than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sousa - Central SC Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sousa will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sousa won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sousa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sousa
Brazilian Serie D
16.05.26	ABC - Sousa	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Laguna - Sousa	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Sousa - Laguna	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.04.26	CRB Maceio - Sousa	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
25.04.26	Sousa - ABC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWLL
- Central SC
Brazilian Serie D
17.05.26	Central SC - Maguary	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Central SC - ABC	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	ABC - Central SC	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Maguary - Central SC	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Central SC - Sousa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
19.04.26	Central SC - Sousa	2:1
20.07.25	Central SC - Sousa	1:1
27.04.25	Sousa - Central SC	0:0
08.08.21	Central SC - Sousa	0:0
04.07.21	Sousa - Central SC	0:0

Sousa - Central SC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide