Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 16

Date: 5 August 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Presidente Vargas (Fortaleza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Ferroviário Fortaleza		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	2.87	3
	2.3	2.95	3.1
	2.34	2.95	3.61
	2.27	2.86	3.35
	2.2	2.9	3
	2.21	2.96	3.27	Watch
	2.3	2.95	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.29)	2.92 ↓ (2.95)	3.2 (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ferroviário Fortaleza
40.3%

Draw
31.3%

Sampaio Corrêa
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

31.2%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

30.2%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Ferroviário Fortaleza - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Douglas Dias (G) 15. Bruno Reis 99. Ciel (C) 11. Gabryel Martins 14. Igor Dutra 26. Leo Gobo 7. Marcelinho 23. Mattheus Silva 21. Nicholas 16. Renan Luis 20. Robson	1. Rafael Mariano (G) 3. Betao 5. Cavi 4. Fabio Aguiar 10. Gabriel Silva 14. Itambe 7. Jhonata Varela 18. Joao Felipe 11. Pimentinha (C) 2. Rafael Luiz 19. Roney
Substitutes
3. Alisson 18. Caio Rangel 6. Ernandes 32. Geaze (G) 19. Israel 9. Kiuan 5. Lincoln 10. Romarinho 22. Vinicius Alves 28. Vinicius Paulista 17. Wilker 27. Willian Rocha	12. Alan (G) 8. Ferreira 16. Gazao 15. Guilherme 23. Mauricio Maranhao 20. Nadson Mesquita 13. Onwudiwe F. 9. Renan Gorne 6. Thallyson 21. Victor Daniel
Coaches
Kobayashi P.	Felipe Surian

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', Itambe 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Marcelinho ⚽,
37', Marcelinho 🟨,
45+3', Kobayashi P. 🟨,
45+3', Felipe Surian 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Douglas Dias ↓, Geaze ↑,
46', Roney ↓, Victor Daniel ↑,
58', Itambe ↓, Thallyson ↑,
58', Gabriel Silva ↓, Nadson Mesquita ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Joao Felipe ⚽,
60', Nicholas ↓, Romarinho ↑,
70', Gabryel Martins ↓, Lincoln ↑,
70', Renan Luis ↓, Vinicius Alves ↑,
76', Marcelinho ↓, Kiuan ↑,
76', Joao Felipe ↓, Renan Gorne ↑,
76', Jhonata Varela ↓, Ferreira ↑,
90', 🟨,
90+5', Igor Dutra 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Ferroviário is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sampaio Corrêa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ferroviário won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferroviário won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie C
27.07.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
22.07.24	Confiança - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
17.07.24	Ypiranga - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:0 ✺
06.07.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Volta Redonda	0:2 ✺
29.06.24	Remo - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTLLL
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie C
27.07.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1 ✺
22.07.24	Floresta - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
13.07.24	Sampaio Corrêa - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:0 ✺
06.07.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Ferroviária	0:2 ✺
29.06.24	Volta Redonda - Sampaio Corrêa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
13.03.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:0 penalties
Brazilian Serie C
25.07.19	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Sampaio Corrêa	0:1
26.05.19	Sampaio Corrêa - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:1

Ferroviário Fortaleza - Sampaio Corrêa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide