Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 11

Date: 29 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Raulino de Oliveira (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Henrique Meira Bispo G. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Volta Redonda		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.83	3.1	3.9
	1.9	3.25	3.75
	1.98	3.19	4.08
	1.9	3.21	4
	1.75	3.2	4
	1.92	3.43	3.89	Watch
	1.84	3.2	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.48)	3.23 ↓ (3.55)	3.96 ↓ (7.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volta Redonda
48.7%

Draw
28.3%

Sampaio Corrêa
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

25.8%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

24.7%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Volta Redonda's form might have worsened.

Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sampaio Corrêa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Volta Redonda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sampaio Corrêa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Volta Redonda - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Users Predictions: Volta Redonda will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Avelino (G) 16. Douglas Skilo 3. Gabriel Bahia 21. Henrique Silva 9. Italo 13. Lucas Souza 10. Patryck Machado 7. Rafinha 8. Robinho 6. Sanchez Costa 2. Wellington Silva (C)	1. Rafael Mariano (G) 3. Betao 4. Fabio Aguiar (C) 2. Fabrizio 10. Gabriel Silva 5. Gazao 7. Mauricio Maranhao 20. Nadson Mesquita 9. Renan Gorne 6. Thiago Rosa 11. Thiaguinho
Substitutes
19. Cristiano 27. de Castro Correa Ribeiro D. 17. Karl 28. Kauan Cristian 25. Kaua Oliveira 29. Kerlinho 23. Kesley 20. Marcos Junior 14. Michel Custodio 26. Xavier Lima V. A. 31. Yago Oliveira (G)	17. Adauto 12. Alan (G) 21. Breno Almeida 19. Claudio Cebolinha 14. Dimas 15. Escuro 8. Ferreira 18. Joao Felipe 16. Marcelinho 13. Onwudiwe F.
Coaches
Rogerio Correa	Ze Augusto

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Patryck Machado ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Renan Gorne ⚽,
31', Fabrizio 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Fabrizio ↓, Ferreira ↑,
46', Nadson Mesquita ↓, Joao Felipe ↑,
51', Gazao 🟨,
59', Italo (Pen),
63', 1 - 2, Joao Felipe ⚽,
68', Rafinha ↓, Kaua Oliveira ↑,
68', Douglas Skilo ↓, Kesley ↑,
70', Thiaguinho ↓, Escuro ↑,
74', Henrique Silva ↓, Kauan Cristian ↑,
80', 🟨,
81', Renan Gorne ↓, Breno Almeida ↑,
81', Gabriel Silva ↓, Onwudiwe F. ↑,
89', 🟨,
90', Italo ↓, Marcos Junior ↑,
90', Lucas Souza ↓, Cristiano ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Cristiano ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 15).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Volta Redonda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Volta Redonda is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Volta Redonda to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Volta Redonda won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Volta Redonda won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Serie C
23.06.24	Volta Redonda - Caxias	1:0 ✺
17.06.24	ABC - Volta Redonda	0:1 ✺
09.06.24	Athletic Club - Volta Redonda	3:2 ✺
03.06.24	Volta Redonda - CS Alagoano	2:1 ✺
29.05.24	EC São José Porto Alegre - Volta Redonda	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLWW
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie C
26.06.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Athletic Club	3:1 ✺
18.06.24	São Bernardo - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
15.06.24	Maranhão - Sampaio Corrêa	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
12.06.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Caxias	2:1 ✺
08.06.24	Londrina - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
23.09.17	Sampaio Corrêa - Volta Redonda	1:1
16.09.17	Volta Redonda - Sampaio Corrêa	0:1

Volta Redonda - Sampaio Corrêa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide