Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 4

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday


	Ferroviário Fortaleza		Sergipe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.3	4
	1.72	3.4	4.3
	1.91	3.27	4.03
	1.87	3.38	3.92	Watch
	1.83	3.35	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.65)	3.34 ↓ (3.55)	4.03 ↓ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviário Fortaleza
50%

Draw
27.4%

Sergipe
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

25.5%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

28.2%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferroviário Fortaleza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Ferroviário Fortaleza - Sergipe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Ferroviário is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sergipe is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sergipe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Sergipe have a series of home games.

In this match Ferroviário is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
14.02.23	CS Alagoano - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
11.02.23	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Maracanã	2:0 ✺
07.02.23	Iguatu - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
04.02.23	Bahia - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
31.01.23	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Ceará	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TWLTT
- CS Sergipe
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
15.02.23	Sergipe - Vitória Salvador	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
12.02.23	Confiança - Sergipe	1:0 ✺
08.02.23	Sergipe - Frei Paulistano	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.02.23	Sergipe - Atlético de Alagoinhas	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
30.01.23	Sergipe - América de Propriá	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWWW

Ferroviário Fortaleza - Sergipe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide