Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 32

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday


	Fezzanese		Siena

	1	X	2
	8.4	4.5	1.32
	10.51	5.05	1.24
	11.5	4.7	1.25
	8.4	4.5	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.7 ↑ (5.02)	4.69 ↑ (3.64)	1.28 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fezzanese
9.4%

Draw
19.5%

Siena
71.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

24.9%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

22.6%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fezzanese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fezzanese's form might have worsened.

Siena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Siena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fezzanese than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fezzanese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siena than the current prediction. (-19.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Siena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fezzanese - Siena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Mariotti L. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Beccarelli F. ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 1, Candido R. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
73', 3 - 1, Mariotti L. ⚽,
75', 4 - 1, Mariotti L. ⚽,
86', 4 - 2, Giannetti N. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Fezzanese is Relegated to

Fezzanese has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Siena is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Siena is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Fezzanese
Italian Serie D - Group E
13.04.25	San Donato Tavarnelle - Fezzanese	4:1 ✺
05.04.25	Fezzanese - Montevarchi	1:3 ✺
30.03.25	Grosseto - Fezzanese	2:0 ✺
23.03.25	Fezzanese - Ostia Mare	0:1 ✺
12.03.25	Fezzanese - Trestina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT
- Siena FC
Italian Serie D - Group E
12.04.25	Siena - Follonica Gavorrano	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Trestina - Siena	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Siena - Figline	0:0 ✺
23.03.25	Fulgens Foligno - Siena	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Siena - Terranuova Traiana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLTLT

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