Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Trestina		Siena

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.88	3
	2.56	2.64	3.09	Watch
	2.63	2.63	2.8
	2.82	2.87	2.74
	2.85	2.54	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.01)	2.71 ↓ (3.12)	2.89 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trestina
34.7%

Draw
33.7%

Siena
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

29.3%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

28%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trestina's form might have worsened.

Siena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Siena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trestina than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trestina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siena than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Siena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Trestina - Siena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Noccioli F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
82', 0 - 2, Mastalli A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 9).

Trestina has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Siena has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Trestina will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Trestina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Trestina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Trestina
Italian Serie D - Group E
14.12.25	Prato - Trestina	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Trestina - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Trestina	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Trestina - Terranuova Traiana	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Scandicci - Trestina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWTTT
- Siena FC
Italian Serie D - Group E
15.12.25	Siena - Camaiore	0:3 ✺
07.12.25	Montevarchi - Siena	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Siena - Seravezza Pozzi	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Grosseto - Siena	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Siena - San Donato Tavarnelle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
06.04.25	Trestina - Siena	2:1

Trestina - Siena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide