Match Info
Serie D - Group E - Round 23Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday
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Siena |
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Follonica Gavorrano |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.83 |
3.46 |
3.89 |
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1.79 |
3.32 |
4.14 |
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1.84 |
3.25 |
4 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.82 ↓ (1.85) |
3.34 ↓ (3.35) |
4.01 ↑ (4) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Siena 50% | Draw 27.2% | Follonica Gavorrano 22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Siena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Follonica Gavorrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siena than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (-0.2%)Siena - Follonica Gavorrano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 43', 1 - 0, Mastalli A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Siena won 4.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky. In this match, Siena is considered a favorite.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Siena won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).Including home matches between the teams, Siena won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Follonica Gavorrano | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 14 |
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| 8 | Siena | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;