Match Info

BRAZIL: Catarinense - Round 7

Date: 5 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Orlando Scarpelli (Florianópolis)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Brasileirao Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Figueirense		Brusque

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.1	3.7
	1.97	3	3.65
	1.95	3.14	3.83
	1.93	3.27	3.8	Watch
	1.92	3.2	4.01
	1.97	3	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.74)	3.12 ↓ (3.49)	3.77 ↓ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Figueirense
46.8%

Draw
29.1%

Brusque
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

26.3%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

25.7%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Figueirense's form might have worsened.

Brusque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Figueirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Figueirense - Brusque Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Fabricio Santana (G) 8. Gabriel Santiago 92. Iury 33. Jhony Douglas 80. Joao Lucas 2. Leo Maia 22. Leonan 4. Ligger (C) 11. Marlyson 31. Matheus Alves 7. Nicolas	1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 66. Alex Ruan 7. Biel Fonseca 2. Everton Alemao 11. Gabriel Honorio 23. Guilherme Pira 3. Ianson 97. Mateus Pivo 99. Robinho 5. Rodolfo Potiguar (C) 4. Torres J.
Substitutes
10. Camilo 40. Gabriel Asaph 5. JP Iseppe 18. Kaua 9. Kayke 77. Lucas Mineiro 30. Micaias 28. Rafinha Potiguar 79. Reifit 47. Ruan Carneiro (G) 6. Samuel Toscas 35. Ze Luiz	40. Artur (G) 39. Biro C. 27. Diego Mathias 33. Dionatan 19. Marcos Serrato 77. Neto 8. Paulinho 94. Paulinho Moccelin 9. Pollero R. 80. Preuss V. 12. Reis L. 70. Zen H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Gabriel Honorio ↓, Diego Mathias ↑,
31', Ianson 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Marlyson ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Robinho ↓, Pollero R. ↑,
46', Ianson ↓, Marcos Serrato ↑,
54', Leonan 🟨,
59', Marcos Serrato 🟨,
59', Biel Fonseca 🟨,
64', Biel Fonseca ↓, Paulinho Moccelin ↑,
69', Marlyson ↓, Kayke ↑,
70', Nicolas ↓, Lucas Mineiro ↑,
70', Leo Maia ↓, Samuel Toscas ↑,
70', Alex Ruan 🟨,
79', Matheus Alves 🟨,
83', Joao Lucas ↓, Rafinha Potiguar ↑,
87', Gabriel Santiago 🟨,
87', Guilherme Pira ↓, Dionatan ↑,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Figueirense won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Figueirense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Brusque have a series of home games.

In this match Figueirense is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Figueirense won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:16 (average 1.3:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Figueirense won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Figueirense
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
02.02.25	Santa Catarina - Figueirense	2:2 ✺
29.01.25	Figueirense - Concórdia	4:1 ✺
25.01.25	Avaí - Figueirense	0:1 ✺
22.01.25	Figueirense - Criciúma	2:3 ✺
18.01.25	Figueirense - Hercílio Luz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWWLT
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
01.02.25	Brusque - Barra Santa Catarina	2:0 ✺
29.01.25	Brusque - Caravaggio	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Joinville - Brusque	1:1 ✺
22.01.25	Brusque - Chapecoense	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Brusque - Avaí	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
27.01.24	Brusque - Figueirense	0:0
Brazilian Serie C
17.06.23	Brusque - Figueirense	0:1
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
11.03.23	Brusque - Figueirense	3:2
05.03.22	Brusque - Figueirense	2:2
04.04.21	Brusque - Figueirense	2:2
15.03.20	Figueirense - Brusque	1:0
09.03.19	Figueirense - Brusque	2:0

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