Match Info

BRAZIL: Catarinense - Round 4

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Arena Joinville (Joinville)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Brasileirao Play
World	Fanatiz


	Joinville		Brusque

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	2.65	2.85
	2.84	2.63	3.38
	2.64	2.55	3.16	Watch
	2.48	2.91	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.28)	2.69 ↓ (2.96)	3.09 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joinville
35.5%

Draw
34.5%

Brusque
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

30.8%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joinville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Brusque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Joinville - Brusque Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bruno Pianissolla (G) 5. Breno Santos 9. Cristian Renato 2. Danilo Belao 11. Danilo Matielo 4. Guti 6. Leo Rigo 10. Lucas de Sa 3. Naldo (C) 7. Ryan 8. Vinicius Paulista	1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 66. Alex Ruan 27. Diego Mathias 2. Everton Alemao 3. Ianson 19. Marcos Serrato 8. Paulinho 94. Paulinho Moccelin 9. Pollero R. 5. Rodolfo Potiguar (C) 4. Torres J.
Substitutes
19. Caion 14. Carlos Alexandre 15. Erick Crispim 16. Ernandes 22. Joao Gabriel 18. Joao Mafra 21. Keke 20. Rickelme 12. Rodrigo Bazilio (G) 17. Yalle	40. Artur (G) 7. Biel Fonseca 33. Dionatan 11. Gabriel Honorio 15. Graff L. 18. Guilherme Pira 80. Preuss V. 12. Reis L. 99. Robinho 29. Yukawa S. 70. Zen H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Breno Santos ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Paulinho Moccelin ↓, Gabriel Honorio ↑,
46', Ianson ↓, Dionatan ↑,
46', Paulinho ↓, Guilherme Pira ↑,
56', Ryan 🟨,
62', Everton Alemao 🟨,
65', Lucas de Sa ↓, Keke ↑,
65', Ryan ↓, Rickelme ↑,
66', Marcos Serrato ↓, Robinho ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Robinho ⚽,
79', Danilo Matielo ↓, Joao Gabriel ↑,
79', Cristian Renato ↓, Caion ↑,
79', Pollero R. ↓, Biel Fonseca ↑,
81', Keke 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joinville
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
22.01.25	Joinville - Concórdia	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Barra Santa Catarina - Joinville	0:0 ✺
11.01.25	Joinville - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
13.10.24	Chapecoense - Joinville	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Joinville - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTTLT
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
22.01.25	Brusque - Chapecoense	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Brusque - Avaí	0:0 ✺
15.01.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Brusque	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
24.11.24	América Mineiro - Brusque	3:0 ✺
17.11.24	Brusque - Guarani	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
04.02.24	Brusque - Joinville	1:1
26.01.23	Joinville - Brusque	0:1
27.02.22	Joinville - Brusque	1:3
28.04.21	Brusque - Joinville	1:0
25.04.21	Joinville - Brusque	2:2
18.04.21	Joinville - Brusque	0:0
30.07.20	Brusque - Joinville	2:1

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