Match Info

BRAZIL: Catarinense - Round 6

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Brasileirao Play
Usa	Fanatiz
World	Fanatiz


	Brusque		Barra Santa Catarina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	2.8	3.9
	2.01	2.7	4
	1.96	2.77	4.65
	1.98	2.84	4.36	Watch
	2.05	2.87	4.1
	2.01	2.7	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.68)	2.78 ↓ (3.07)	4.17 ↓ (5.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
45.6%

Draw
32.7%

Barra Santa Catarina
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

29.6%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

29.3%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brusque's form might have worsened.

Barra Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barra Santa Catarina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brusque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barra Santa Catarina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Brusque - Barra Santa Catarina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 66. Alex Ruan 7. Biel Fonseca 26. Dionatan 2. Everton Alemao 11. Gabriel Honorio 23. Guilherme Pira 97. Mateus Pivo 99. Robinho 5. Rodolfo Potiguar (C) 4. Torres J.	1. Ewerton (G) 28. Giovani 3. Jean Pierre 8. Joao Miguel 10. Juliano 18. Marcelo 5. Natan (C) 27. Paulinho 6. Tenorio 14. Vava 11. Willians Santana
Substitutes
40. Artur (G) 39. Biro C. 15. Graff L. 3. Ianson 19. Marcos Serrato 77. Neto 8. Paulinho 94. Paulinho Moccelin 9. Pollero R. 80. Preuss V. 12. Reis L. 70. Zen H.	13. Da Rocha 7. Elvinho 19. Gabriel Lyra 20. Guilherme Teixeira 2. Kellyton 25. Lucas Nunes 15. Luizao 24. Perin 17. Saymon 9. Venicius

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Mateus Pivo ⚽,
23', Vava ↓, Guilherme Teixeira ↑,
36', 2 - 0, Guilherme Pira ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dionatan ↓, Ianson ↑,
59', Gabriel Honorio ↓, Paulinho ↑,
59', Robinho ↓, Paulinho Moccelin ↑,
62', Torres J. 🟨,
62', Willians Santana ↓, Da Rocha ↑,
62', Paulinho ↓, Saymon ↑,
67', Marcelo 🟨,
67', 🟨,
69', Guilherme Pira 🟨,
73', Guilherme Pira ↓, Pollero R. ↑,
80', Joao Miguel ↓, Venicius ↑,
80', Tenorio ↓, Elvinho ↑,
86', Biel Fonseca ↓, Marcos Serrato ↑,
90', Rodolfo Potiguar 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: ) and 9).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Brusque is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brusque won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:4 (average 2.6:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Brusque won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 2.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
29.01.25	Brusque - Caravaggio	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Joinville - Brusque	1:1 ✺
22.01.25	Brusque - Chapecoense	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Brusque - Avaí	0:0 ✺
15.01.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Brusque	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTLTT
- Barra Santa Catarina
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
29.01.25	Barra Santa Catarina - Hercílio Luz	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Criciúma - Barra Santa Catarina	1:1 ✺
23.01.25	Barra Santa Catarina - Santa Catarina	2:2 ✺
19.01.25	Barra Santa Catarina - Joinville	0:0 ✺
15.01.25	Concórdia - Barra Santa Catarina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
21.01.24	Barra Santa Catarina - Brusque	1:3
29.03.23	Brusque - Barra Santa Catarina	3:1
26.03.23	Barra Santa Catarina - Brusque	1:2
15.01.23	Brusque - Barra Santa Catarina	2:0
20.02.22	Brusque - Barra Santa Catarina	3:1

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