Match Info

World Championship - Qualification

Date: 10 June 2025, Tuesday

Location: Helsinki Olympic Stadium (Helsinki)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Supersport Action
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, SporTV 3
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	YLE Areena, YLE TV2
Georgia	Silk Sport 3
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
Indonesia	SINDOnews TV
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Three
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Maldives	Medianet
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	Sky Sport 2, TVWan
Nigeria	SuperSport Action
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Peru	Disney+
Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 1, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Serbia	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-africa	SuperSport Action
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Sport 24 International, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Sport 24 Extra, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Finland		Poland

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	2.25
	3.3	3.2	2.3
	3.55	3.25	2.18	Watch
	3.68	3.38	2.16	Watch
	3.7	3.3	2
	3.73	3.55	2.15	Watch
	3.55	3.25	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↓ (3.95)	3.29 ↓ (3.43)	2.17 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Finland
26.8%

Draw
29.1%

Poland
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

27.9%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Finland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Poland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	9.7%	68.1%

Finland - Poland Predictions

Users Predictions: 71 users predict this event. Finland will win (votes: 16 - 22.5%). Poland will win (votes: 48 - 67.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 9.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Poland: 56.7% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Finland (votes: 7 - 24.1%). Poland (votes: 21 - 72.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Finland (2.25) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

EH +1 - Finland (1.98) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC, 1st Half - Finland (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Finland (1.62) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0, 1st Half - Finland (2.23) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Finland (2.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB, 1st Half - Finland (2.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Poland (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 45 Selected Experts predict this event. Finland (votes: 22 - 48.9%). Poland (votes: 22 - 48.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hradecky L. (C) Bayer Leverkusen 16. Peltola M. DC United 5. Hoskonen A. Cracovia 18. Uronen J. AIK 8. Lod R. Minnesota United 14. Kairinen K. Sparta Prague 6. Kamara G. Al Shabab 15. Tenho M. Djurgarden 11. Antman O. G.A. Eagles 9. Jensen F. Augsburg 20. Pohjanpalo J. Palermo	1. Skorupski L. (G) Bologna 16. Skrzypczak M. Jagiellonia 5. Bednarek J. (C) Southampton 14. Kiwior J. Arsenal 2. Cash M. Aston Villa 10. Szymanski S. Fenerbahce 17. Slisz B. Atlanta United 8. Moder J. Feyenoord 21. Zalewski N. Inter 23. Piatek K. Basaksehir 11. Swiderski K. Panathinaikos
Substitutes
17. Alho N. Asteras Tripolis 4. Ivanov R. Braunschweig 12. Joronen J. (G) Venezia 7. Jyry T. Petrolul 19. Kallman B. Cracovia 22. Niskanen I. Exeter 2. Pikkarainen J. Degerfors 10. Pukki T. HJK 23. Sinisalo V. (G) Celtic 21. Suhonen A. Regensburg 3. Tikkanen V. HJK 13. Valakari O. San Diego FC	18. Bereszynski B. Sampdoria 7. Bogusz M. Cruz Azul 9. Buksa A. Midtjylland 12. Bulka M. (G) Nice 3. Dawidowicz P. Verona 19. Frankowski P. Galatasaray 13. Kaminski J. Wolfsburg 22. Mrozek B. (G) Lech Poznan 20. Oyedele M. Legia 6. Piotrowski J. Ludogorets 15. Walukiewicz S. Torino 4. Wieteska M. PAOK
Coaches
Friis J.	Probierz M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. (Pen),
34', Bednarek J. 🟨,
35', Kairinen K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Swiderski K. ↓, Kaminski J. ↑,
63', Pohjanpalo J. ↓, Kallman B. ↑,
63', Jensen F. ↓, Alho N. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Kallman B. ⚽, Antman O. (A),
69', 2 - 1, Kiwior J. ⚽,
71', Uronen J. ↓, Niskanen I. ↑,
86', Lod R. ↓, Ivanov R. ↑,
86', Antman O. ↓, Pukki T. ↑,
87', Piatek K. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
87', Moder J. ↓, Piotrowski J. ↑,
90+2', Zalewski N. 🟨,

Preview

Finland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Poland is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Finland won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.3:3.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Finland
FIFA World Cup
07.06.25	Finland - Netherlands	0:2 ✺
24.03.25	Lithuania - Finland	2:2 ✺
21.03.25	Malta - Finland	0:1 ✺
UEFA Nations League
17.11.24	Finland - Greece	0:2 ✺
14.11.24	Ireland - Finland	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTWLL
- Poland
Friendly
06.06.25	Poland - Moldova	2:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
24.03.25	Poland - Malta	2:0 ✺
21.03.25	Poland - Lithuania	1:0 ✺
UEFA Nations League
18.11.24	Poland - Scotland	1:2 ✺
15.11.24	Portugal - Poland	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
07.10.20	Poland - Finland	5:1
27.03.20	Poland - Finland	Canceled
26.03.16	Poland - Finland	5:0

Finland - Poland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide