Match Info

Date: 5 August 2022, Friday

Location: Finn Park (Ballybofey)

Referee: MacGraith D. (Irl)


	Finn Harps		Drogheda United

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.25	2.95	Watch
	2.38	3.3	2.85
	2.22	3.4	2.95
	2.26	3.51	3.34
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.24	3.4	3.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.38)	3.37 ↑ (3.3)	3.05 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Finn Harps
41.6%

Draw
27.7%

Drogheda United
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

27.7%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

28.1%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Finn Harps has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Drogheda United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Finn Harps than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drogheda United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.2%	26.2%	28.6%

Finn Harps - Drogheda United Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Finn Harps will win (votes: 19 - 45.2%). Drogheda United will win (votes: 12 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 26.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Finn Harps: 30.1% – 60.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Finn Harps won 0.

Finn Harps has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Drogheda United is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Drogheda United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Drogheda United have a series of home games.

Finn Harps will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Drogheda United to win the game is with odds 3.22.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Finn Harps won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Finn Harps won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Finn Harps
Irish FAI Cup
29.07.22	Finn Harps - Bohemians Dublin	1:3 ✺
Irish Premier Division
22.07.22	Dundalk - Finn Harps	3:0 ✺
17.07.22	Finn Harps - Derry City	1:2 ✺
08.07.22	Shelbourne - Finn Harps	3:1 ✺
01.07.22	Finn Harps - Shamrock Rovers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Drogheda United
Irish Premier Division
01.08.22	Drogheda United - University College Dublin	1:1 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
29.07.22	Drogheda United - Athlone Town	5:1 ✺
Irish Premier Division
23.07.22	Shamrock Rovers - Drogheda United	1:1 ✺
15.07.22	Drogheda United - Bohemians Dublin	0:1 ✺
08.07.22	Drogheda United - Dundalk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.9 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Irish Premier Division
20.05.22	Drogheda United - Finn Harps	3:1
04.04.22	Finn Harps - Drogheda United	2:2
01.11.21	Finn Harps - Drogheda United	0:0
02.07.21	Drogheda United - Finn Harps	3:1
21.05.21	Finn Harps - Drogheda United	0:1
03.04.21	Drogheda United - Finn Harps	1:1
01.11.19	Finn Harps - Drogheda United	2:0 ET

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