Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Finn Harps		Derry City

	1	X	2
	7.77	4.46	1.35
	7.8	4.4	1.34	Watch
	7.5	4.5	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.69 ↑ (6.66)	4.45 ↓ (4.5)	1.36 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Finn Harps
12%

Draw
20.6%

Derry City
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.9%

20.6%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Finn Harps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Derry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Finn Harps - Derry City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Finn Harps won 1.

Derry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Derry is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Finn Harps won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:39. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Finn Harps won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Finn Harps
Club Friendly
13.01.26	Finn Harps - Sligo Rovers	1:0 ✺
Irish Division 1
17.10.25	Finn Harps - University College Dublin	3:4 ✺
13.10.25	Finn Harps - Kerry	1:1 ✺
10.10.25	Dundalk - Finn Harps	3:0 ✺
26.09.25	Cobh Ramblers - Finn Harps	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLTLL
- Derry City
Irish Premier Division
01.11.25	Cork City - Derry City	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Derry City - Shamrock Rovers	2:1 ✺
17.10.25	Waterford - Derry City	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Derry City - Sligo Rovers	1:0 ✺
26.09.25	Drogheda United - Derry City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
11.01.25	Finn Harps - Derry City	Canceled
26.01.24	Derry City - Finn Harps	2:0
14.01.24	Finn Harps - Derry City	2:2
22.01.23	Derry City - Finn Harps	6:0
Irish Premier Division
07.10.22	Derry City - Finn Harps	3:0
17.07.22	Finn Harps - Derry City	1:2
27.05.22	Derry City - Finn Harps	2:2

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